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China Open: Alina Charaeva vs Sonay Kartal

Sports→TennisSettlement: Alina CharaevaLiquidity: $139.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $271.5KEvent: China Open: Alina Charaeva vs Sonay Kartal
100.0¢
Alina Charaeva payout
0.0¢
Sonay Kartal payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLAlina Charaeva$29.4K@ 100¢·Kkunn

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Alina Charaeva. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-11 03:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Alina Charaeva and Sonay Kartal in the China Open, originally scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alina Charaeva' if Alina Charaeva advances against Sonay Kartal. This market will resolve to 'Sonay Kartal' if Sonay Kartal advances against Alina Charaeva. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Alina Charaeva; negative values favor Sonay Kartal. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hSonay Kartal · $41.9K
6hSonay Kartal · $37.7K
24hSonay Kartal · $47.0K

Alina Charaeva price VWAP

Volume-weighted Alina Charaeva price. Sonay Kartal fills are converted to the complementary Alina Charaeva probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h78.54¢▲ above by 21.5pp
VWAP 7d78.54¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Alina Charaeva price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$78.7K
90¢
$14.3K
85¢
$0
80¢
$198
75¢
$1.1K
70¢
$3.0K
65¢
$1.3K
60¢
$11.5K
55¢
$248
50¢
$0
45¢
$109
40¢
$66
35¢
$37.9K
30¢
$704
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLAlina Charaeva$29.4K@ 99.9¢
Kkunn0xe787…5034
🐋—20 days ago
SELLAlina Charaeva$29.3K@ 99.9¢
HectorHuang0x568a…04d9
🐋—20 days ago
BUYAlina Charaeva$11.6K@ 94.0¢
coinlaundry0xe8d7…1252
🐋—20 days ago
BUYAlina Charaeva$10.0K@ 37.08¢
HectorHuang0x568a…04d9
🐋—21 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.