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Palermo: Filippo Moroni vs Ignacio Parisca Romera

Sports→Settlement: Filippo MoroniLiquidity: $537.5KOfficial 24h Vol: $173.8KEvent: Palermo: Filippo Moroni vs Ignacio Parisca Romera
100.0¢
Filippo Moroni payout
0.0¢
Ignacio Parisca Romera payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:33 trades$34.0K trackedsource coverage 20%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 78 min agoofficial metadata 5 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Ignacio Parisca Romera · $759 net·11 wallets·$19.6K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYIgnacio Parisca Romera$5.5K@ 89¢·luminaarx

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Filippo Moroni. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-12 10:10 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Filippo Moroni and Ignacio Parisca Romera in the Palermo, Italy, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 6:10AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Filippo Moroni' if Filippo Moroni advances against Ignacio Parisca Romera. This market will resolve to 'Ignacio Parisca Romera' if Ignacio Parisca Romera advances against Filippo Moroni. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Recent definition/status changes
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 51m ago

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Filippo Moroni UP 13.5pp · near-book depth $584 → $505 · 33s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Filippo Moroni; negative values favor Ignacio Parisca Romera. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hFilippo Moroni · $3.2K
6hIgnacio Parisca Romera · $4.2K
24hIgnacio Parisca Romera · $4.2K

Filippo Moroni price VWAP

Volume-weighted Filippo Moroni price. Ignacio Parisca Romera fills are converted to the complementary Filippo Moroni probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h54.7¢▲ above by 45.3pp
VWAP 7d54.7¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Filippo Moroni price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$87
90¢
$0
85¢
$1.9K
80¢
$0
75¢
$6.9K
70¢
$6.6K
65¢
$373
60¢
$1.2K
55¢
$0
50¢
$4.0K
45¢
$3.7K
40¢
$143
35¢
$3.5K
30¢
$38
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$43
10¢
$5.5K
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 75¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.