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Valorant: Paper Rex vs LOUD - Map 2 Winner

● quote 5 min ago
Sports→Esports · ValorantCloses: about 4 hoursLiquidity: $576.0KOfficial 24h Vol: $297.4KEvent: Valorant: Paper Rex vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs
1.0¢
Paper Rex
99.9¢
LOUD
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection14Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets21Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution30Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 70%💡 10 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:174 trades$54.4K trackedsource coverage 18%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 15 min agoofficial metadata 6 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Paper Rex · $2.1K net·10 wallets·$10.0K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYLOUD$9.0K@ 55¢·fantasy7788

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Paper Rex pressure: $7.4K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$7.4K
6h
−$9.0K
tracked
$54.4K

10 verified profitable wallets: Paper Rex · $2.1K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 70% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 15 minutes old.
  • •Less than 4h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Paper Rex or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-07 17:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://vlr.gg
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Paper Rex" if Paper Rex win Map 2 against LOUD.

•This market will resolve to "LOUD" if LOUD win Map 2 against Paper Rex.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Valorant Upper Bracket Quarterfinal 4 match between Paper Rex and LOUD in the VCT Champions Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 7, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Paper Rex" if Paper Rex win Map 2 against LOUD. This market will resolve to "LOUD" if LOUD win Map 2 against Paper Rex. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 21, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 7, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
fantasy77882 linked markets · $24.4K gross
SineNooneEI2 linked markets · $11.3K gross
minji3 linked markets · $9.8K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: LOUD UP 11.0pp · near-book depth $452 → $4.1K · 2s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Paper Rex; negative values favor LOUD. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hPaper Rex · $7.4K
6hLOUD · $9.0K
24hLOUD · $9.0K

Paper Rex price VWAP

Volume-weighted Paper Rex price. LOUD fills are converted to the complementary Paper Rex probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current1.0¢
VWAP 24h41.6¢▼ below by 40.6pp
VWAP 7d41.6¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Paper Rex price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$2.3K
85¢
$2.0K
80¢
$2.4K
75¢
$138
70¢
$2.2K
65¢
$321
60¢
$49
55¢
$2.0K
50¢
$2.2K
45¢
$19.1K
40¢
$4.3K
35¢
$514
30¢
$2.7K
25¢
$3.5K
20¢
$57
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$10.6K

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.