PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Valorant: Paper Rex vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs

● quote just now
Sports→Esports · ValorantCloses: about 5 hoursLiquidity: $35.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $468.7KEvent: Valorant: Paper Rex vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs
48.5¢
Paper Rex
51.5¢
LOUD
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection4Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets28Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution87Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority49Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 84%💡 10 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:185 trades$144.7K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 34%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 10 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:LOUD · $2.0K net·10 wallets·$7.5K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYLOUD$28.2K@ 47¢·Diabolical-Prize

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WATCH — NO CONFIRMED SETUP
What the tape says

LOUD pressure: $6.2K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$6.2K
6h
−$47.8K
tracked
$144.7K

10 verified profitable wallets: LOUD · $2.0K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 84% · priority 49

Since latest accumulation: +5.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Less than 5h remains; resolution risk is elevated.
  • •Rules, deadline or market status changed recently; re-read the current definition.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from LOUD or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-07 17:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://vlr.gg
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Paper Rex" if Paper Rex win the match against LOUD.

•This market will resolve to "LOUD" if LOUD win the match against Paper Rex.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Valorant Upper Bracket Quarterfinal 4 match between Paper Rex and LOUD in the VCT Champions Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 7, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Paper Rex" if Paper Rex win the match against LOUD. This market will resolve to "LOUD" if LOUD win the match against Paper Rex. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 21, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 7, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Recent definition/status changes
DEADLINE CHANGED · 59m ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
fantasy77882 linked markets · $24.4K gross
SineNooneEI2 linked markets · $11.3K gross
Ballons2 linked markets · $4.3K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ACCUMULATIONBUY LOUD@ 47.0¢1h ago
15m INVALIDATED -10.0pp1h CONFIRMED +26.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY LOUD@ 47.0¢1h ago
15m INVALIDATED -10.0pp1h CONFIRMED +26.0pp
Latest book event: Paper Rex DOWN 6.0pp · near-book depth $1.3K → $2.3K · 31s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Paper Rex; negative values favor LOUD. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hLOUD · $6.2K
6hLOUD · $47.8K
24hLOUD · $48.0K

Paper Rex price VWAP

Volume-weighted Paper Rex price. LOUD fills are converted to the complementary Paper Rex probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current48.5¢
VWAP 24h50.6¢▼ below by 2.1pp
VWAP 7d50.6¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Paper Rex price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$10
60¢
$588
55¢
$10.7K
50¢
$114.1K
45¢
← now
$0
40¢
$176
35¢
$6.6K
30¢
$4.0K
25¢
$5.3K
20¢
$3.2K
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYLOUD$14.1K@ 47.0¢
Diabolical-Prize0x7c37…6aeb
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYLOUD$28.2K@ 47.0¢
Diabolical-Prize0x7c37…6aeb
🐋—about 2 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Valorant: Paper Rex vs LOUD - Map 2 Winner
82.5¢$84.7Kpriority73Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage
100.0¢$1.4Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 Winner
0.1¢$929.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
China Open: Alina Charaeva vs Qinwen Zheng
26.5¢$588.9Kpriority67Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage
84.5¢$560.7Kpriority72Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 1 Winner
100.0¢$493.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
0.1¢$426.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Mattia Bellucci vs Yi Zhou
69.5¢$416.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

Diabolical-PrizeLOUD$59.7K
BUY VWAP 47.0¢·5 fills
qiu3Paper Rex$13.8K
BUY VWAP 54.0¢·2 fills
tankfest2027Paper Rex$10.6K
BUY VWAP 56.7¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.