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Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Michael Zheng vs Nicolas Mejia

Sports→Settlement: Nicolas MejiaLiquidity: $196.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $318.5KEvent: Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Michael Zheng vs Nicolas Mejia
0.0¢
Michael Zheng payout
100.0¢
Nicolas Mejia payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:71 trades$102.0K trackedsource coverage 32%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 74 min agoofficial metadata 22 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Nicolas Mejia · $20.2K net·12 wallets·$60.3K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLNicolas Mejia$8.1K@ 90¢·Luzzzer

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Nicolas Mejia. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-13 05:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Michael Zheng and Nicolas Mejia in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 1:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Michael Zheng' if Michael Zheng advances against Nicolas Mejia. This market will resolve to 'Nicolas Mejia' if Nicolas Mejia advances against Michael Zheng. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Recent definition/status changes
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 53m ago

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Nicolas Mejia2h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Nicolas Mejia@ 81.0¢2h ago
15m INVALIDATED -27.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: Michael Zheng DOWN 4.5pp · near-book depth $3.5K → $919 · 22s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Michael Zheng; negative values favor Nicolas Mejia. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMichael Zheng · $16.8K
6hMichael Zheng · $408
24hMichael Zheng · $2.4K

Michael Zheng price VWAP

Volume-weighted Michael Zheng price. Nicolas Mejia fills are converted to the complementary Michael Zheng probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h33.3¢▼ below by 33.3pp
VWAP 7d33.3¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Michael Zheng price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$8.1K
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$1.5K
55¢
$1.4K
50¢
$10.2K
45¢
$10.4K
40¢
$13.2K
35¢
$1.8K
30¢
$2
25¢
$2.1K
20¢
$27.6K
15¢
$6.0K
10¢
$8.3K
5¢
$5.1K
0¢
← now
$6.3K

VPOC = 20¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

ferrariChampions2026Nicolas Mejia$19.6K
BUY VWAP 63.9¢·4 fills
HomeRunHazardNicolas Mejia$13.1K
BUY VWAP 81.8¢·4 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.