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LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner

● quote 10s ago
Sports→Closes: about 3 hoursLiquidity: $1.1MOfficial 24h Vol: $839.9KEvent: LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage
100.0¢
HANJIN BRION
0.1¢
Natus Vincere
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection3Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets28Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 59%💡 18 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:258 trades$315.4K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 38%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 34 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:HANJIN BRION · $17.5K net·18 wallets(2🐋)·$61.3K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLHANJIN BRION$24.7K@ 100¢·gigigigigic

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

Natus Vincere pressure: $9.1K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$9.1K
6h
−$563
tracked
$315.4K

18 verified profitable wallets: HANJIN BRION · $17.5K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 59% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +34.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 34 minutes old.
  • •Less than 3h remains; resolution risk is elevated.
  • •Executable BUY price moved 34.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Natus Vincere or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-06 13:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "HANJIN BRION" if HANJIN BRION win Game 2 against Natus Vincere.

•This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win Game 2 against HANJIN BRION.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL Round 3 match between HANJIN BRION and Natus Vincere in the Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage, initially scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 3:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "HANJIN BRION" if HANJIN BRION win Game 2 against Natus Vincere. This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win Game 2 against HANJIN BRION. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 20, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 6, 2026 at 3:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
Lucas1tb2 linked markets · $51.6K gross
Lakersfan1112 linked markets · $50.0K gross
0xd016…61142 linked markets · $48.9K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY HANJIN BRION@ 66.0¢2h ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: Natus Vincere DOWN 6.0pp · near-book depth $58 → $80 · 1s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor HANJIN BRION; negative values favor Natus Vincere. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hNatus Vincere · $9.1K
6hNatus Vincere · $563
24hHANJIN BRION · $4.4K

HANJIN BRION price VWAP

Volume-weighted HANJIN BRION price. Natus Vincere fills are converted to the complementary HANJIN BRION probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h79.4¢▲ above by 20.6pp
VWAP 7d79.4¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

HANJIN BRION price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$127.3K
90¢
$6.4K
85¢
$22
80¢
$0
75¢
$46.5K
70¢
$47.6K
65¢
$9.7K
60¢
$19.4K
55¢
$30.4K
50¢
$4.6K
45¢
$14.0K
40¢
$1.4K
35¢
$159
30¢
$415
25¢
$6.1K
20¢
$1.2K
15¢
$252
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLHANJIN BRION$10.3K@ 99.9¢
aomendushen0080xd3f1…7535
🐋—about 1 hour ago
SELLHANJIN BRION$24.7K@ 99.9¢
gigigigigic0xd501…b86e
🐋—about 1 hour ago
SELLHANJIN BRION$12.5K@ 99.9¢0xd016…6114🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYHANJIN BRION$10.0K@ 98.3¢
aomendushen0080xd3f1…7535
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYHANJIN BRION$21.1K@ 58.0¢
ipop000x8fbb…9a17
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYHANJIN BRION$14.6K@ 73.0¢
Sunshine.Smile0xd3b0…329e
🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

ipop00HANJIN BRION$22.2K
BUY VWAP 54.8¢·2 fills
Sunshine.SmileHANJIN BRION$14.6K
BUY VWAP 73.0¢·1 fill
aomendushen008HANJIN BRION$10.0K
BUY VWAP 98.3¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.