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LoL: Team Vitality vs RED Canids - Game 1 Winner

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: about 5 hoursLiquidity: $540.6KOfficial 24h Vol: $555.9KEvent: LoL: Team Vitality vs RED Canids (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage
100.0¢
Team Vitality
0.1¢
RED Canids
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection15Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets63Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 83%💡 10 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:139 trades$184.6K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 33%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 31 min agoofficial metadata 2 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Team Vitality · $24.3K net·10 wallets·$38.3K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYTeam Vitality$10.6K@ 100¢·depresssin

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Team Vitality pressure: $27.9K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$27.9K
6h
+$49.4K
tracked
$184.6K

10 verified profitable wallets: Team Vitality · $24.3K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 83% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 31 minutes old.
  • •Less than 5h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Team Vitality or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-06 16:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Team Vitality" if Team Vitality win Game 1 against RED Canids.

•This market will resolve to "RED Canids" if RED Canids win Game 1 against Team Vitality.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL Round 3 match between Team Vitality and RED Canids in the Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage, initially scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Vitality" if Team Vitality win Game 1 against RED Canids. This market will resolve to "RED Canids" if RED Canids win Game 1 against Team Vitality. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 20, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 6, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
bluemol3 linked markets · $32.6K gross
five51202 linked markets · $27.1K gross
fkgggg2mouzfuria2 linked markets · $23.9K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: RED Canids DOWN 5.0pp · near-book depth $116 → $118 · 1s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Team Vitality; negative values favor RED Canids. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hTeam Vitality · $27.9K
6hTeam Vitality · $49.4K
24hTeam Vitality · $53.9K

Team Vitality price VWAP

Volume-weighted Team Vitality price. RED Canids fills are converted to the complementary Team Vitality probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h84.5¢▲ above by 15.5pp
VWAP 7d84.5¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Team Vitality price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$74.4K
90¢
$7.6K
85¢
$0
80¢
$26.9K
75¢
$42.4K
70¢
$5.5K
65¢
$14.2K
60¢
$2.1K
55¢
$0
50¢
$6.8K
45¢
$4.7K
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLTeam Vitality$10.5K@ 99.9¢
five51200xc1c7…f0a7
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYTeam Vitality$10.6K@ 99.9¢
depresssin0xcc77…c035
🐋—about 1 hour ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

xytestTeam Vitality$11.6K
BUY VWAP 66.5¢·5 fills
minjiTeam Vitality$11.4K
BUY VWAP 66.0¢·5 fills
depresssinTeam Vitality$10.6K
BUY VWAP 99.9¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.