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LoL: KT Rolster vs Team Vitality - Game 4 Winner

● quote just now
Sports→Esports · League of LegendsCloses: about 2 hoursLiquidity: $616.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $670.1KEvent: LoL: KT Rolster vs Team Vitality (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs
100.0¢
KT Rolster
0.1¢
Team Vitality
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection33Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets65Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 86%💡 14 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:234 trades$305.7K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 45%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 7 min agoofficial metadata 2 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:KT Rolster · $28.4K net·14 wallets(1🐋)·$43.7K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYKT Rolster$30.0K@ 100¢·littlelonely777

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

KT Rolster pressure: $99.1K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$99.1K
6h
+$100.8K
tracked
$305.7K

14 verified profitable wallets: KT Rolster · $28.4K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 86% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Less than 2h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from KT Rolster or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-12 12:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "KT Rolster" if KT Rolster win Game 4 against Team Vitality.

•This market will resolve to "Team Vitality" if Team Vitality win Game 4 against KT Rolster.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL Quarterfinal 2 match between KT Rolster and Team Vitality in the Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "KT Rolster" if KT Rolster win Game 4 against Team Vitality. This market will resolve to "Team Vitality" if Team Vitality win Game 4 against KT Rolster. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 4 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 4. If Game 4 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 26, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 12, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
five51205 linked markets · $88.9K gross
vtcchampion528 linked markets · $82.6K gross
fantasy77883 linked markets · $72.4K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: KT Rolster UP 4.0pp · near-book depth $651 → $727 · 1s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor KT Rolster; negative values favor Team Vitality. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hKT Rolster · $99.1K
6hKT Rolster · $100.8K
24hKT Rolster · $100.8K

KT Rolster price VWAP

Volume-weighted KT Rolster price. Team Vitality fills are converted to the complementary KT Rolster probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h85.4¢▲ above by 14.5pp
VWAP 7d85.4¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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KT Rolster price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$136.4K
90¢
$1.7K
85¢
$4.3K
80¢
$6.5K
75¢
$24.1K
70¢
$119.1K
65¢
$13.7K
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLKT Rolster$19.4K@ 99.9¢
five51200xc1c7…f0a7
🐋—18 minutes ago
BUYKT Rolster$30.0K@ 99.9¢
littlelonely7770x5e8e…8212
🐋—20 minutes ago
BUYKT Rolster$16.6K@ 74.0¢
Sunshine.Smile0xd3b0…329e
🐋—about 1 hour ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

LoL: KT Rolster vs Team Vitality (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs
73.5¢$1.3Mpriority53Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: KT Rolster vs Team Vitality - Game 2 Winner
0.1¢$873.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: KT Rolster vs Team Vitality - Game 1 Winner
0.1¢$872.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: KT Rolster vs Team Vitality - Game 3 Winner
100.0¢$677.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Game Handicap: KT (-1.5) vs Team Vitality (+1.5)
0.1¢$235.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Game Handicap: KT (-2.5) vs Team Vitality (+2.5)
0.1¢$206.3Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Games Total: O/U 3.5
100.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Games Total: O/U 4.5
100.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

littlelonely777KT Rolster$30.0K
BUY VWAP 99.9¢·1 fill
254321758KT Rolster$22.2K
BUY VWAP 85.9¢·5 fills
Sunshine.SmileKT Rolster$16.6K
BUY VWAP 74.0¢·1 fill
stop123444444KT Rolster$10.1K
BUY VWAP 73.9¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.