PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Spread: Sportivo Trinidense (-1.5)

● quote just now
Sports→SoccerCloses: about 2 hoursLiquidity: $5.1KOfficial 24h Vol: $92.0KEvent: Sportivo San Lorenzo vs. Sportivo Trinidense - More Markets
0.1¢
Sportivo Trinidense
100.0¢
Sportivo San Lorenzo
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets11Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution76Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 55%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:10 trades$18.3K trackedsource coverage 20%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 168 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Sportivo San Lorenzo · $3.0K net·2 wallets·$18.3K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYSportivo Trinidense$3.9K@ 50¢·0x076d…8d4c

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
+$3.4K
tracked
$18.3K

2 verified profitable wallets: Sportivo San Lorenzo · $3.0K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 55% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 168 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-10 20:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.apf.org.py/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Sportivo Trinidense" if Sportivo Trinidense win the game by 2 or more goals.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Sportivo San Lorenzo".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming Paraguay Primera División game, scheduled for October 10 at 4:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Sportivo Trinidense" if Sportivo Trinidense win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Sportivo San Lorenzo". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on apf.org.py. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Sportivo San Lorenzo DOWN 4.5pp · near-book depth $78 → $246 · 19s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Sportivo Trinidense; negative values favor Sportivo San Lorenzo. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hSportivo Trinidense · $0
6hSportivo Trinidense · $3.4K
24hSportivo San Lorenzo · $3.1K

Sportivo Trinidense price VWAP

Volume-weighted Sportivo Trinidense price. Sportivo San Lorenzo fills are converted to the complementary Sportivo Trinidense probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h46.2¢▼ below by 46.2pp
VWAP 7d46.2¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Sportivo Trinidense price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$2.6K
50¢
$3.7K
45¢
$5.4K
40¢
$0
35¢
$6.5K
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$0

VPOC = 35¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

UFC Fight Night: Melissa Gatto vs. Ernesta Kareckaite (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)
50.5¢$831.9Kpriority71Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
0.1¢$423.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians
43.5¢$362.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals?
4.5¢$344.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: LOS vs FURIA Esports - Game 3 Winner
50.5¢$339.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Coventry City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
0.1¢$307.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Nottingham Forest win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
0.1¢$305.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Sunderland win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
0.1¢$296.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.