PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Quentin Halys

● quote just now
Sports→TennisCloses: 8 daysLiquidity: $399.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $514.6KEvent: Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Quentin Halys
100.0¢
Alexander Zverev
0.1¢
Quentin Halys
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection15Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets49Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 85%💡 10 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:132 trades$216.0K tracked4% 🐋source coverage 42%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 5 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Alexander Zverev · $17.3K net·10 wallets·$35.7K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYAlexander Zverev$25.9K@ 86¢·coinlaundry

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Alexander Zverev pressure: $31.5K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$31.5K
6h
+$160.0K
tracked
$216.0K

10 verified profitable wallets: Alexander Zverev · $17.3K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 85% · priority 0

Since latest liquidity absorption: +6.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Alexander Zverev or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-19 02:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Alexander Zverev and Quentin Halys in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alexander Zverev' if Alexander Zverev advances against Quentin Halys. This market will resolve to 'Quentin Halys' if Quentin Halys advances against Alexander Zverev. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LIQUIDITY ABSORPTIONBUY Alexander Zverev@ 94.0¢2h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h INVALIDATED -7.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Alexander Zverev@ 89.0¢2h ago
15m STALLED +2.0pp1h STALLED +2.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Alexander Zverev@ 86.0¢5h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp
Latest book event: Alexander Zverev DOWN 2.5pp · near-book depth $124.0K → $68.8K · 11s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.climax

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Alexander Zverev; negative values favor Quentin Halys. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hAlexander Zverev · $31.5K
6hAlexander Zverev · $160.0K
24hAlexander Zverev · $165.9K

Alexander Zverev price VWAP

Volume-weighted Alexander Zverev price. Quentin Halys fills are converted to the complementary Alexander Zverev probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h90.5¢▲ above by 9.4pp
VWAP 7d90.5¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Alexander Zverev price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$29.2K
90¢
$87.4K
85¢
$95.3K
80¢
$60
75¢
$0
70¢
$432
65¢
$3.6K
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 85¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYAlexander Zverev$13.9K@ 93.0¢0x1b34…c6ef🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYAlexander Zverev$10.1K@ 94.0¢0x09be…9c32🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYAlexander Zverev$13.6K@ 87.9¢
18275757820x2798…0b7d
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYAlexander Zverev$10.0K@ 87.0¢
beeemw0x1e38…fd47
🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYAlexander Zverev$25.9K@ 86.0¢
coinlaundry0xe8d7…1252
🐋—about 5 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs
80.5¢$1.7Mpriority43Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Eagles vs. Jaguars
23.5¢$798.0Kpriority66Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Brandon Nakashima
65.5¢$725.2Kpriority48Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Olbia: Matyas Cerny vs Vadym Ursu
100.0¢$650.7Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Everton FC win on 2026-10-11?
47.5¢$643.3Kpriority80Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs
63.5¢$525.5Kpriority52Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-11?
45.5¢$508.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
0.1¢$422.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

coinlaundryAlexander Zverev$25.9K
BUY VWAP 86.0¢·1 fill
0x09be…9c32Alexander Zverev$20.0K
BUY VWAP 94.0¢·2 fills
1827575782Alexander Zverev$19.4K
BUY VWAP 88.9¢·3 fills
redvinnyAlexander Zverev$14.5K
BUY VWAP 93.0¢·4 fills
0x1b34…c6efAlexander Zverev$13.9K
BUY VWAP 93.0¢·1 fill
UpTheBluesAlexander Zverev$10.6K
BUY VWAP 93.5¢·7 fills
beeemwAlexander Zverev$10.0K
BUY VWAP 87.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.