PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Daniel Dubois vs. Fabio Wardley

● quote 4 min ago
Sports→Combat SportsCloses: about 3 hoursLiquidity: $216.1KOfficial 24h Vol: $165.1KEvent: Daniel Dubois vs. Fabio Wardley
100.0¢
Daniel Dubois
0.1¢
Fabio Wardley
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets67Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 58%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:77 trades$51.3K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 31%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 130 min agoofficial metadata 2 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Fabio Wardley · $1.7K net·2 wallets·$1.7K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLDaniel Dubois$11.4K@ 100¢·madkkee

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
+$3.1K
tracked
$51.3K

2 verified profitable wallets: Fabio Wardley · $1.7K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 58% · priority 0

Since latest market sweep: +0.1pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 130 minutes old.
  • •Less than 3h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-18 03:59 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.espn.com/boxing/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Daniel Dubois" if Daniel Dubois is officially declared the winner of the fight against Fabio Wardley, scheduled for October 17, 2026.

•It will resolve to "Fabio Wardley" if Fabio Wardley is officially declared the winner.

Read full resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Daniel Dubois" if Daniel Dubois is officially declared the winner of the fight against Fabio Wardley, scheduled for October 17, 2026. It will resolve to "Fabio Wardley" if Fabio Wardley is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled before it begins, or postponed beyond October 31, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from governing body.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

MARKET SWEEPBUY Daniel Dubois@ 99.9¢3h ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: Daniel Dubois DOWN 4.5pp · near-book depth $46 → $442 · 1s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Daniel Dubois; negative values favor Fabio Wardley. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hDaniel Dubois · $0
6hDaniel Dubois · $3.1K
24hDaniel Dubois · $2.0K

Daniel Dubois price VWAP

Volume-weighted Daniel Dubois price. Fabio Wardley fills are converted to the complementary Daniel Dubois probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h86.4¢▲ above by 13.6pp
VWAP 7d86.4¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Daniel Dubois price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$19.3K
90¢
$4.2K
85¢
$4.3K
80¢
$0
75¢
$10.5K
70¢
$13.0K
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLDaniel Dubois$11.4K@ 99.9¢
madkkee0xd27c…c081
🐋—about 3 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

UFC Fight Night: Chad Anheliger vs. Steven Koslow (Bantamweight, Prelims)
0.0¢$649.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Wuhan Tennis Open: Sonay Kartal vs Jelena Ostapenko
0.0¢$429.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
0.1¢$422.3Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will the Arizona Cardinals win the 2027 NFL league championship?
0.3¢$417.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
West Indies Tour of India T20s: India vs West Indies
50.5¢$400.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians
36.5¢$399.1Kpriority44Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Jaguars (-2.5)
50.5¢$354.0Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
UFC Fight Night: Tanner Boser vs. Jhonata Diniz (Heavyweight, Prelims)
0.0¢$320.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

ferenc89Daniel Dubois$11.9K
BUY VWAP 95.0¢·11 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.