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Tasmania JackJumpers vs. New Zealand Breakers

● quote 1 min ago
Sports→BasketballCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $20.3KEvent: Tasmania JackJumpers vs. New Zealand Breakers
98.0¢
Tasmania JackJumpers
2.0¢
New Zealand Breakers
3.8¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution43Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 56%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:11 trades$4.8K trackedsource coverage 24%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 332 min agoofficial metadata 11 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLTasmania JackJumpers$1.7K@ 99¢·0xb5de…cabe

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
−$125
tracked
$4.8K

1 verified profitable wallet: New Zealand Breakers · $13 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
3.8¢displayed spread

Expensive before size: wait for tighter quotes or reduce size.

Data confidence 56% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 332 minutes old.
  • •Spread is 3.8¢ before size-dependent slippage.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-25 04:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nbl.com.au/
Outcome meaning

•If the Tasmania JackJumpers win, the market will resolve to "Tasmania JackJumpers".

•If the New Zealand Breakers win, the market will resolve to "New Zealand Breakers".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NBL game, scheduled for October 18 at 12:00AM ET: If the Tasmania JackJumpers win, the market will resolve to "Tasmania JackJumpers". If the New Zealand Breakers win, the market will resolve to "New Zealand Breakers". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0xe907…cff62 linked markets · $71 gross
0x9e3e…f8822 linked markets · $41 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.discovery

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Tasmania JackJumpers; negative values favor New Zealand Breakers. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hTasmania JackJumpers · $0
6hNew Zealand Breakers · $125
24hTasmania JackJumpers · $1.0K

Tasmania JackJumpers price VWAP

Volume-weighted Tasmania JackJumpers price. New Zealand Breakers fills are converted to the complementary Tasmania JackJumpers probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current98.0¢
VWAP 24h80.8¢▲ above by 17.2pp
VWAP 7d80.8¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Tasmania JackJumpers price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$1.9K
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$1.3K
65¢
$6
60¢
$1.6K
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.