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Shimane Susanoo Magic vs. Brave Thunders

● quote just now
Sports→BasketballCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $16.0KEvent: Shimane Susanoo Magic vs. Brave Thunders
100.0¢
Shimane Susanoo Magic
0.1¢
Brave Thunders
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets64Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution69Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 55%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:19 trades$3.1K trackedsource coverage 19%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 63 min agoofficial metadata 6 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Brave Thunders · $296 net·2 wallets·$308 gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYShimane Susanoo Magic$1.2K@ 68¢·tinashi1199zz

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
+$2.2K
tracked
$3.1K

2 verified profitable wallets: Brave Thunders · $296 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 55% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 63 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-26 10:05 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.bleague.jp/en/
Outcome meaning

•If the Shimane Susanoo Magic win, the market will resolve to "Shimane Susanoo Magic".

•If the Brave Thunders win, the market will resolve to "Brave Thunders".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming Japan B League game, scheduled for October 19 at 6:05AM ET: If the Shimane Susanoo Magic win, the market will resolve to "Shimane Susanoo Magic". If the Brave Thunders win, the market will resolve to "Brave Thunders". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Shimane Susanoo Magic UP 14.0pp · near-book depth $1.0K → $3.3K · 104s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.discovery

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Shimane Susanoo Magic; negative values favor Brave Thunders. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hShimane Susanoo Magic · $0
6hShimane Susanoo Magic · $2.2K
24hShimane Susanoo Magic · $2.0K

Shimane Susanoo Magic price VWAP

Volume-weighted Shimane Susanoo Magic price. Brave Thunders fills are converted to the complementary Shimane Susanoo Magic probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h65.7¢▲ above by 34.2pp
VWAP 7d65.7¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Shimane Susanoo Magic price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$2.7K
60¢
$143
55¢
$0
50¢
$110
45¢
$0
40¢
$182
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 65¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.