Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Geopolitics→Closes: 9 monthsLiquidity: $454.6K24h Vol: $14.1M

29.5¢

YES

70.5¢

41.0¢

Spread

conv0Conviction — % of recent trades going one direction (30 min window)whale0Whale Activity — large wallet trades $10k+ in last 24hedge0Edge Score — (Conviction + Whale) / 2, overall signal strengthmom0Momentum — trade frequency vs baseline (30 min window)

24h sample:87 trades68% YES32% NO

🏆 Biggest bet:YES$5.1K@ 28¢·0x2970…e1c9

Price History

Orderbook YES/NO

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Market Analytics

Net Order Flow

Net Order Flow = YES buy volume minus NO buy volume. Positive (green) = more money betting YES. Negative (red) = more money betting NO. Positive flow at stable/falling price often signals smart accumulation.

1h$15

6h$2.4K

24h+$3.7K

VWAP vs Price

VWAP = Volume Weighted Average Price — the true average price weighted by how much money traded at each level. Current price above VWAP = overbought vs recent activity. Below = trading at a discount.

Current29.5¢

VWAP 24h42.1¢▼ discount

VWAP 7d42.1¢

Position ConcentrationWallets with ≥15% share of 7-day volume. >40% = single player dominates = manipulation risk or thin liquidity. Multiple large holders may indicate coordinated activity.

Top Holders · 7d

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Volume Profile · 30d (price × volume)

95¢

90¢

85¢

80¢

75¢

70¢

$3.4K

65¢

60¢

55¢

50¢

45¢

40¢

35¢

30¢

$53

25¢

← now

$7.0K

20¢

15¢

10¢

5¢

0¢

VPOC = 25¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Accumulation · 4h / 24h

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Live Tapeupdated less than a minute ago

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🐋 Whale Trades$10,000+Δ now

No whale activity

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💡 Smart Wallets · 7d

No smart wallet activity