PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

● quote just now
Politics→Geopolitics→Closes: 3 monthsLiquidity: $97.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $60.6KEvent: Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
5.5¢
YES
94.5¢
NO
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 56%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:4 trades$13.7K trackedsource coverage 23%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 292 min agoofficial metadata 14 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYNO$11.3K@ 94¢·thoodr

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
−$190
tracked
$13.7K

1 verified profitable wallet: NO · $20.7K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 56% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 292 minutes old.
  • •Rules, deadline or market status changed recently; re-read the current definition.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2027-01-01 04:59 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: Not supplied by the market
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to “Yes” if Volodymyr Zelenskyy ceases to be President of Ukraine for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Read full resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Volodymyr Zelenskyy ceases to be President of Ukraine for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Volodymyr Zelenskyy's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Volodymyr Zelenskyy and the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Recent definition/status changes
DEADLINE CHANGED · 14d ago

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY NO@ 94.0¢2d ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h STALLED -1.0pp24h STALLED +0.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY NO@ 95.0¢45d ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h STALLED -1.0pp24h STALLED -2.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.climax

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor YES; negative values favor NO. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hYES · $0
6hNO · $190
24hNO · $13.7K

YES price VWAP

Volume-weighted YES price. NO fills are converted to the complementary YES probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current5.5¢
VWAP 24h5.0¢▲ above by 0.5pp
VWAP 7d5.7¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

YES price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
← now
$88.4K
0¢
$0

VPOC = 5¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYNO$11.3K@ 94.0¢
thoodr0x3eae…e2ed
🐋—1 day ago
SELLNO$15.4K@ 93.0¢
scottilicious0x000d…758e
🐋—about 1 month ago
BUYNO$16.1K@ 94.0¢
stupid220x8afa…adb6
🐋—about 2 months ago
BUYNO$14.1K@ 90.0¢0x8b71…8044🐋—2 months ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
0.1¢$1.6Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
0.1¢$1.3Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
0.1¢$1.3Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
0.1¢$948.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
42.5¢$907.6Kpriority52Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
57.0¢$777.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
0.1¢$713.3Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
0.1¢$681.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

thoodrNo$20.7K
BUY VWAP 94.2¢·3 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.