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Essendon Bombers vs. North Melbourne Kangaroos

● quote 233 min ago
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $581Event: Essendon Bombers vs. North Melbourne Kangaroos
0.0¢
Essendon Bombers
0.0¢
North Melbourne Kangaroos
0.0¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution0Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 52%
24h sample:1 trades$36 trackedsource coverage 6%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 761 min agoofficial metadata 65 min ago

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
$0
tracked
$36

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
0.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 52% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Only 1 tracked trades / 1 wallets in the 24h sample.
  • •Executable quote is 233 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 761 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-25 04:05 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.afl.com.au/aflw
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Essendon Bombers" if Essendon Bombers is officially credited with the match win.

•This market will resolve to "North Melbourne Kangaroos" if North Melbourne Kangaroos is officially credited with the match win.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the AFL Women match between Essendon Bombers and North Melbourne Kangaroos, scheduled for October 18 at 12:05AM ET. This market will resolve to "Essendon Bombers" if Essendon Bombers is officially credited with the match win. This market will resolve to "North Melbourne Kangaroos" if North Melbourne Kangaroos is officially credited with the match win. The official final result will be used, including extra time when the competition uses it. If the official result is a draw, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve to a team only if that team is officially credited with the win; otherwise it will resolve 50-50. If the match does not begin, is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Australian Football League results. If official results have not been published within 24 hours after the match concludes, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.discovery

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Essendon Bombers; negative values favor North Melbourne Kangaroos. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hEssendon Bombers · $0
6hEssendon Bombers · $0
24hNorth Melbourne Kangaroos · $36

Essendon Bombers price VWAP

Volume-weighted Essendon Bombers price. North Melbourne Kangaroos fills are converted to the complementary Essendon Bombers probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h3.0¢▼ below by NaNpp
VWAP 7d3.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Essendon Bombers price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$36

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.