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Spread: Maple Leafs (-1.5)

Sports→HockeySettlement: IslandersLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $2.6KEvent: Islanders vs. Maple Leafs
0.0¢
Maple Leafs payout
100.0¢
Islanders payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:3 trades$13 trackedsource coverage 1%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 543 min agoofficial metadata 492 min ago

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Islanders. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-17 23:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nhl.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Maple Leafs" if the Maple Leafs win the game by 2 or more goals.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Islanders".

Read full resolution rules

In the NHL game, scheduled for October 17 at 7:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Maple Leafs" if the Maple Leafs win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Islanders". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 8h ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 8h ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
memetal2 linked markets · $202 gross
roon494 linked markets · $94 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Maple Leafs; negative values favor Islanders. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMaple Leafs · $13
6hMaple Leafs · $13
24hMaple Leafs · $13

Maple Leafs price VWAP

Volume-weighted Maple Leafs price. Islanders fills are converted to the complementary Maple Leafs probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h10.0¢▼ below by 10.0pp
VWAP 7d10.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Maple Leafs price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$9
5¢
$4
0¢
← now
$0

VPOC = 10¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.