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Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5)

● quote 808 min ago
Sports→Esports · Counter-StrikeCloses: about 11 hoursLiquidity: $359.9KOfficial 24h Vol: $285.9KEvent: Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Playoffs
0.1¢
Team Falcons
99.9¢
BetBoom Team
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets66Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution30Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 57%💡 4 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:68 trades$76.7K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 27%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 838 min agoofficial metadata 811 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:BetBoom Team · $16.7K net·4 wallets·$22.2K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLBetBoom Team$17.0K@ 100¢·chechefish

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
$0
tracked
$76.7K

4 verified profitable wallets: BetBoom Team · $16.7K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 57% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote is 808 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 838 minutes old.
  • •Official market metadata is 811 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-17 23:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://hltv.org
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Team Falcons" if Team Falcons wins 2 or more maps than BetBoom Team in this match.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "BetBoom Team".

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Semifinal 2 match between Team Falcons and BetBoom Team in the Thunderpick World Championship Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Falcons" if Team Falcons wins 2 or more maps than BetBoom Team in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "BetBoom Team". Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 17, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The match is considered to have begun once live play begins in its first map or game. Warmup rounds and knife rounds do not count as the start of the match. A round forced live because a team did not ready up or resume play within the allotted time does not count as the start of the match if that team forfeits before the next round begins. If the match begins and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, the match will count as completed. In that case, any remaining maps required to decide the match, including a map in progress or not yet started, will be counted as won by the winning team. If the match ends due to the clinching map being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
qiu32 linked markets · $118.3K gross
0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415f3 linked markets · $110.2K gross
sgfkskg2433243 linked markets · $92.1K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY BetBoom Team@ 56.0¢1d ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h STALLED -1.0pp24h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: BetBoom Team UP 24.0pp · near-book depth $81 → $490 · 27s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Team Falcons; negative values favor BetBoom Team. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hTeam Falcons · $0
6hTeam Falcons · $0
24hTeam Falcons · $14.2K

Team Falcons price VWAP

Volume-weighted Team Falcons price. BetBoom Team fills are converted to the complementary Team Falcons probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h30.2¢▼ below by 30.1pp
VWAP 7d36.5¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Team Falcons price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$1
85¢
$2.1K
80¢
$0
75¢
$2
70¢
$223
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$12
50¢
$3.3K
45¢
$68.7K
40¢
$17.3K
35¢
$6
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$28.0K

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLBetBoom Team$17.0K@ 99.9¢
chechefish0xdd4a…f91c
🐋—about 15 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x29b5…cc6cBetBoom Team$19.4K
BUY VWAP 52.6¢·7 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.