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Set Handicap: Rafael Jodar (-1.5) vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (+1.5)

Sports→TennisSettlement: Alejandro Davidovich FokinaLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $6.0KEvent: Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Rafael Jodar
0.0¢
Rafael Jodar payout
100.0¢
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:6 trades$645 trackedsource coverage 11%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 63 min agoofficial metadata 7 min ago

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Alejandro Davidovich Fokina. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-25 08:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Rafael Jodar" if Rafael Jodar wins by 2 or more sets than Alejandro Davidovich Fokina, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Alejandro Davidovich Fokina."

•If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Rafael Jodar can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Alejandro Davidovich Fokina."

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Rafael Jodar and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Rafael Jodar" if Rafael Jodar wins by 2 or more sets than Alejandro Davidovich Fokina, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Alejandro Davidovich Fokina." If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Rafael Jodar can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Alejandro Davidovich Fokina." If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP results.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 22m ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 22m ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
redvinny2 linked markets · $53.5K gross
quavoo3 linked markets · $160 gross
0xde96…190c2 linked markets · $80 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Rafael Jodar; negative values favor Alejandro Davidovich Fokina. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hAlejandro Davidovich Fokina · $4
6hRafael Jodar · $637
24hRafael Jodar · $637

Rafael Jodar price VWAP

Volume-weighted Rafael Jodar price. Alejandro Davidovich Fokina fills are converted to the complementary Rafael Jodar probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h61.8¢▼ below by 61.8pp
VWAP 7d61.8¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Rafael Jodar price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$300
60¢
$310
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$2
30¢
$30
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$4
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$0

VPOC = 60¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.