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Japan Women's Open: Ann Li vs Emerson Jones

● quote just now
Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $1.0MOfficial 24h Vol: $409.4KEvent: Japan Women's Open: Ann Li vs Emerson Jones
100.0¢
Ann Li
0.1¢
Emerson Jones
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection2Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets28Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 75%💡 8 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:257 trades$163.0K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 40%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 7 min agoofficial metadata 4 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Ann Li · $1.9K net·8 wallets·$6.6K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYAnn Li$14.4K@ 78¢·Kkunn

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

Emerson Jones pressure: $3.6K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$3.6K
6h
+$24.4K
tracked
$163.0K

8 verified profitable wallets: Ann Li · $1.9K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 75% · priority 0

Since latest market sweep: +22.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable BUY price moved 22.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Emerson Jones or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-27 01:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Ann Li and Emerson Jones in the Japan Women's Open, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ann Li' if Ann Li advances against Emerson Jones. This market will resolve to 'Emerson Jones' if Emerson Jones advances against Ann Li. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
neutralwave232 linked markets · $99 gross
0xfb57…67192 linked markets · $53 gross
0xf020…20f52 linked markets · $5 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

MARKET SWEEPBUY Ann Li@ 78.0¢1h ago
15m INVALIDATED -29.0pp1h INVALIDATED -19.0pp
Latest book event: Ann Li UP 6.0pp · near-book depth $19.7K → $24.7K · 7s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Ann Li; negative values favor Emerson Jones. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hEmerson Jones · $3.6K
6hAnn Li · $24.4K
24hAnn Li · $35.9K

Ann Li price VWAP

Volume-weighted Ann Li price. Emerson Jones fills are converted to the complementary Ann Li probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h65.5¢▲ above by 34.4pp
VWAP 7d65.5¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Ann Li price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$22.6K
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$1.6K
75¢
$20.0K
70¢
$40.1K
65¢
$16.2K
60¢
$138
55¢
$4.1K
50¢
$10.4K
45¢
$14.0K
40¢
$18.2K
35¢
$15.6K
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 70¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYEmerson Jones$10.0K@ 61.2¢
hurrican0x8718…5040
🐋—33 minutes ago
BUYAnn Li$14.4K@ 77.5¢
Kkunn0xe787…5034
🐋—about 1 hour ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Japan Women's Open: Completed Match: Ann Li vs Emerson Jones
0.0¢$5.0Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
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43.5¢$15priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
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Li vs. Jones: Match O/U 22.5
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0.0¢$627.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
0.1¢$469.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

KkunnAnn Li$29.4K
BUY VWAP 61.5¢·4 fills
UpTheBluesEmerson Jones$10.5K
BUY VWAP 53.6¢·7 fills
hurricanEmerson Jones$10.0K
BUY VWAP 61.2¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.