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Fort Worth: Gavin Young vs Duncan Chan

● quote 55 min ago
Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $50.8KEvent: Fort Worth: Gavin Young vs Duncan Chan
99.9¢
Gavin Young
11.0¢
Duncan Chan
0.0¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets39Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution0Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 62%💡 3 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:27 trades$23.6K trackedsource coverage 46%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 85 min agoofficial metadata 61 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Duncan Chan · $1.1K net·3 wallets·$2.9K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLGavin Young$9.6K@ 100¢·kkookkoo

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
−$7.1K
tracked
$23.6K

3 verified profitable wallets: Duncan Chan · $1.1K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 62% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote is 55 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 85 minutes old.
  • •Official market metadata is 61 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-26 16:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Gavin Young and Duncan Chan in the Fort Worth, USA, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Gavin Young' if Gavin Young advances against Duncan Chan. This market will resolve to 'Duncan Chan' if Duncan Chan advances against Gavin Young. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Gavin Young UP 6.0pp · near-book depth $71.8K → $560 · 55s
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.discovery

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Gavin Young; negative values favor Duncan Chan. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hGavin Young · $0
6hDuncan Chan · $7.1K
24hDuncan Chan · $7.1K

Gavin Young price VWAP

Volume-weighted Gavin Young price. Duncan Chan fills are converted to the complementary Gavin Young probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.9¢
VWAP 24h80.5¢▲ above by 19.4pp
VWAP 7d80.5¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Gavin Young price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$13.0K
90¢
$505
85¢
$0
80¢
$273
75¢
$528
70¢
$175
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$8.6K
45¢
$442
40¢
$16
35¢
$0
30¢
$63
25¢
$28
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.