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New Mexico vs. Nevada

Sports→American FootballSettlement: New MexicoLiquidity: $337.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $332.2KEvent: New Mexico vs. Nevada
100.0¢
New Mexico payout
0.0¢
Nevada payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:54 trades$62.3K tracked4% 🐋source coverage 20%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 832 min agoofficial metadata 780 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:New Mexico · $125 net·6 wallets(1🐋)·$25.9K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYNevada$12.4K@ 6¢·0x2c33…0563

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome New Mexico. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-11-07 02:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.ncaa.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "New Mexico" if New Mexico win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Nevada" if Nevada win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming college football game between New Mexico and Nevada, scheduled for November 6 at 9:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "New Mexico" if New Mexico win the game. This market will resolve to "Nevada" if Nevada win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 13h ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 13h ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
ferrariChampions20262 linked markets · $17.8K gross
quavoo2 linked markets · $15.9K gross
primm3 linked markets · $7.9K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Nevada DOWN 3.0pp · near-book depth $14.9K → $1.5K · 43s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor New Mexico; negative values favor Nevada. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hNew Mexico · $1.9K
6hNew Mexico · $4.7K
24hNew Mexico · $20.3K

New Mexico price VWAP

Volume-weighted New Mexico price. Nevada fills are converted to the complementary New Mexico probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h88.38¢▲ above by 11.6pp
VWAP 7d88.37¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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New Mexico price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$19.5K
90¢
$16.7K
85¢
$1.3K
80¢
$13
75¢
$27.7K
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 75¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYNevada$12.4K@ 6.2¢0x2c33…0563🐋—about 15 hours ago
BUYNew Mexico$10.3K@ 78.96¢
quavoo0xdc41…dd7e
🐋—about 23 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

quavooNew Mexico$14.6K
BUY VWAP 78.88¢·4 fills
0x2c33…0563Nevada$12.4K
BUY VWAP 6.2¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.