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Kings vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5

Sports→BasketballSettlement: OverLiquidity: $39.5KOfficial 24h Vol: —Event: Kings vs. Grizzlies
100.0¢
Over payout
0.0¢
Under payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Under · $72.1K net·6 wallets(2🐋)·$72.6K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYOver$85.6K@ 53¢·googleplay

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Over. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-11-01 00:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nba.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Over" if the Kings and Grizzlies combine to score 229 or more points in this game.

•If the combined total is less than 229, this market will resolve to "Under".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 31 at 8:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if the Kings and Grizzlies combine to score 229 or more points in this game. If the combined total is less than 229, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 3d ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 3d ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
HomeRunHazard10 linked markets · $74.5K gross
ropetard4 linked markets · $51.7K gross
ch27er4 linked markets · $50.0K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

POSITION CHANGEBUY Over@ 54.0¢3d ago
15m INVALIDATED -21.0pp1h INVALIDATED -10.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Over; negative values favor Under. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hUnder · $7
6hOver · $128.5K
24hOver · $128.5K

Over price VWAP

Volume-weighted Over price. Under fills are converted to the complementary Over probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h51.67¢▲ above by 48.3pp
VWAP 7d51.67¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Over price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$0
90¢
$7
85¢
$0
80¢
$81
75¢
$76
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$157
50¢
$332.5K
45¢
$58.1K
40¢
$1.7K
35¢
$6
30¢
$116
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYUnder$40.6K@ 48.0¢
iDARKenjoyer0xf68a…5b1b
🐋—3 days ago
BUYOver$53.7K@ 53.0¢
googleplay0xe9b7…ce7b
🐋—3 days ago
BUYOver$85.6K@ 52.98¢
googleplay0xe9b7…ce7b
🐋—3 days ago
BUYOver$34.6K@ 52.0¢
googleplay0xe9b7…ce7b
🐋—3 days ago
BUYUnder$23.4K@ 49.0¢
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319
🐋—3 days ago
BUYOver$23.0K@ 51.94¢
googleplay0xe9b7…ce7b
🐋—3 days ago
BUYOver$22.2K@ 49.47¢
googleplay0xe9b7…ce7b
🐋—3 days ago
BUYOver$12.6K@ 48.33¢
mooseborzoi0x84cf…2f63
🐋—3 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

googleplayOver$236.3K
BUY VWAP 52.33¢·8 fills
iDARKenjoyerUnder$40.6K
BUY VWAP 48.0¢·1 fill
norrisfanUnder$25.0K
BUY VWAP 48.73¢·5 fills
ferrariChampions2026Under$23.4K
BUY VWAP 49.0¢·1 fill
mooseborzoiOver$16.3K
BUY VWAP 48.42¢·2 fills
quavooUnder$12.4K
BUY VWAP 50.90¢·4 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.