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Belgaron
0x6c104a31c105ab2573a42e0f178f961e4496df5c
$2.0M
Official volume · all time
0.0%
Observed YES share · 30d
18
Observed fills · 30d
$10.5K
Observed flow · 30d
whale
0
Wallet large-trade score — activity-size heuristic, not proof of skill
⚡ ≥15¢ move 64%
(18/28)
Recent Trades (20)
—
NO
$500
@ 61.42¢
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1 day ago
—
YES
$744
@ 93.0¢
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
4 days ago
—
NO
$356
@ 89.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
4 days ago
—
YES
$156
@ 98.1¢
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
4 days ago
—
YES
$91
@ 91.0¢
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
4 days ago
—
YES
$728
@ 91.0¢
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
4 days ago
—
YES
$15
@ 90.0¢
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
4 days ago
—
YES
$900
@ 90.71¢
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
4 days ago
—
YES
$624
@ 78.0¢
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
5 days ago
—
YES
$576
@ 72.0¢
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
5 days ago
—
YES
$720
@ 72.0¢
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
5 days ago
—
YES
$792
@ 72.0¢
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
5 days ago
—
NO
$576
@ 72.0¢
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
6 days ago
—
NO
$3.6K
@ 72.0¢
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
6 days ago
—
YES
$284
@ 71.0¢
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
8 days ago
—
YES
$710
@ 71.0¢
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
8 days ago
—
YES
$268
@ 67.0¢
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
11 days ago
—
NO
$186
@ 93.0¢
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
11 days ago
—
YES
$368
@ 92.0¢
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
12 days ago
—
YES
$168
@ 76.8¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
15 days ago
Trading Activity · 90d
13 active days
Entry Timing Before Resolution
<6h
5 bets
100%
5/5
1d–7d
11 bets
73%
8/11
>7d
15 bets
92%
11/12
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