The-Joker
0x9aeb534c42b58b21673d5e03e9da14fbd15b2729
+$12.0K
Real PnL
+12.3%
ROI
$51.0K
Volume
$97.4K
Invested
37.5%
YES Bias
8
Trades (DB)
28/41
Markets Won
whale25Whale Activity — large wallet trades $10k+ in last 24h
Open positions:21 markets·current value $36.5K·32 closed
PnL by Market (53)21 open32 closed
● open No · $20.6Kin $35.0Kout $10.0Kunreal +$8.1K
● open No · $8.2Kin $11.2Kout $4.2Kunreal +$402
Will "They Will Kill You" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 5m?
● open Yes · $1.2Kin $1.9Kout $1.3Kunreal $-88
Will "They Will Kill You" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 6m?
● open Yes · $71in $319unreal $-248
Will "Project Hail Mary" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 54m?
● open No · $172in $1.0Kout $693unreal $-168
Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?
● open Yes · $598in $816out $383unreal +$67
Will there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31?
● open No · $404in $385unreal +$20
Will 15-19 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 17-23?
● open Yes · $315in $304unreal +$11
Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?
● open Yes · $146in $177out $0unreal $-30
Will "They Will Kill You" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 6m and 7m?
● open No · $203in $201unreal +$1
Will "Hoppers" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 13m?
● open No · $42in $1.1Kout $906unreal $-6
Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026?
● open Yes · $223in $205unreal +$18
Will Google have the third-best AI model at the end of March 2026?
● open Yes · $1.4Kin $191unreal +$82
Will Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
● open Yes · $151in $125unreal +$26
Will "Hoppers" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 11m?
● open No · $102in $98unreal +$3
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?
● open Yes · $127in $109unreal +$18
Will "Project Hail Mary" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 46m and 50m?
● open No · $203in $137unreal +$66
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 190m and 200m?
● open Yes · $122in $94unreal +$29
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?
● open Yes · $252in $184out $96unreal +$146
U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by March 31?
● open No · $746in $110unreal +$139
Will "Project Hail Mary" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 50m and 54m?
● open No · $1.3Kin $834out $209unreal +$611
● closedin $6.1Kout $34.0K
AWS service disrupted by March 31?
● closedout $4.2K
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 200m?
● closedout $2.2K
● closedout $2.0K
● closedin $2.4Kout $3.2K
● closedin $11.9Kout $12.5K
Will SpaceX have exactly 13 launches in April?
● closedin $775out $1.3K
+$394
● closedout $394
Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by March 27?
● closedin $1.4Kout $1.7K
● closedin $1.7Kout $1.9K
● closedin $3.8Kout $3.6K
● closedin $3.9Kout $4.1K
Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on March 23, 2026?
● closedin $802out $946
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 25, 2026?
● closedin $2.7Kout $2.7K
Will "They Will Kill You" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
● closedin $1.1Kout $1.0K
Will "Hoppers" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 12m?
● closedin $503out $573
● closedin $810out $872
Will "Fantasy Life" score at least 86 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
● closedin $79out $140
● closedin $301out $356
Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on March 24?
● closedin $26out $56
● closedin $767out $785
Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 17-23?
● closedin $95out $113
Will "They Will Kill You" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
● closedin $96out $85
● closedin $266out $275
Will 45 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 17-23?
● closedin $186out $194
Will 40-44 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?
● closedout $6
● closedout $5
Will ChatGPT be back in as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 26?
● closedin $17out $13
Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?
● closedin $3.0Kout $3.0K
Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?
● closedin $76out $79
Will 40-44 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 17-23?
● closedin $26out $29
Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?
● closedin $44out $46
| Market | Invested | Received | Unrealized | Trades | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? ●open No· $20.6K | $35.0K | $10.0K | +$8.1K | 0 | $-16938 |
| Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 23, 2026? ●open No· $8.2K | $11.2K | $4.2K | +$402 | 11 | $-6584 |
Will "They Will Kill You" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 5m? ●open Yes· $1.2K | $1.9K | $1.3K | $-88 | 6 | $-660 |
Will "They Will Kill You" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 6m? ●open Yes· $71 | $319 | $0 | $-248 | 4 | $-566 |
Will "Project Hail Mary" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 54m? ●open No· $172 | $1.0K | $693 | $-168 | 6 | $-481 |
Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026? ●open Yes· $598 | $816 | $383 | +$67 | 3 | $-366 |
Will there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31? ●open No· $404 | $385 | $0 | +$20 | 1 | $-365 |
Will 15-19 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 17-23? ●open Yes· $315 | $304 | $0 | +$11 | 5 | $-293 |
Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker? ●open Yes· $146 | $177 | $0 | $-30 | 2 | $-207 |
Will "They Will Kill You" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 6m and 7m? ●open No· $203 | $201 | $0 | +$1 | 2 | $-200 |
Will "Hoppers" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 13m? ●open No· $42 | $1.1K | $906 | $-6 | 11 | $-194 |
Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026? ●open Yes· $223 | $205 | $0 | +$18 | 1 | $-187 |
Will Google have the third-best AI model at the end of March 2026? ●open Yes· $1.4K | $191 | $0 | +$82 | 1 | $-109 |
Will Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)? ●open Yes· $151 | $125 | $0 | +$26 | 1 | $-99 |
Will "Hoppers" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 11m? ●open No· $102 | $98 | $0 | +$3 | 1 | $-95 |
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X? ●open Yes· $127 | $109 | $0 | +$18 | 1 | $-92 |
Will "Project Hail Mary" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 46m and 50m? ●open No· $203 | $137 | $0 | +$66 | 1 | $-71 |
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 190m and 200m? ●open Yes· $122 | $94 | $0 | +$29 | 1 | $-65 |
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026? ●open Yes· $252 | $184 | $96 | +$146 | 2 | +$58 |
U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by March 31? ●open No· $746 | $110 | $0 | +$139 | 1 | +$29 |
Will "Project Hail Mary" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 50m and 54m? ●open No· $1.3K | $834 | $209 | +$611 | 3 | $-14 |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31? ● closed | $6.1K | $34.0K | — | 4 | +$27.8K |
AWS service disrupted by March 31? ● closed | $0 | $4.2K | — | 0 | +$4.2K |
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 200m? ● closed | $0 | $2.2K | — | 19 | +$2.2K |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? ● closed | $0 | $2.0K | — | 11 | +$2.0K |
| Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March? ● closed | $2.4K | $3.2K | — | 26 | +$814 |
| Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 21, 2026? ● closed | $11.9K | $12.5K | — | 8 | +$578 |
Will SpaceX have exactly 13 launches in April? ● closed | $775 | $1.3K | — | 5 | +$561 |
| Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election? ● closed | $0 | $394 | — | 1 | +$394 |
Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by March 27? ● closed | $1.4K | $1.7K | — | 7 | +$332 |
| Will Iran strike Lebanon in March? ● closed | $1.7K | $1.9K | — | 2 | +$191 |
| Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 20, 2026? ● closed | $3.8K | $3.6K | — | 25 | $-187 |
| Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 22, 2026? ● closed | $3.9K | $4.1K | — | 47 | +$163 |
Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on March 23, 2026? ● closed | $802 | $946 | — | 3 | +$144 |
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 25, 2026? ● closed | $2.7K | $2.7K | — | 3 | +$90 |
Will "They Will Kill You" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? ● closed | $1.1K | $1.0K | — | 9 | $-71 |
Will "Hoppers" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 12m? ● closed | $503 | $573 | — | 4 | +$70 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? ● closed | $810 | $872 | — | 168 | +$62 |
Will "Fantasy Life" score at least 86 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? ● closed | $79 | $140 | — | 5 | +$61 |
| Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch? ● closed | $301 | $356 | — | 2 | +$55 |
Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on March 24? ● closed | $26 | $56 | — | 1 | +$30 |
| Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week? (March 29) ● closed | $767 | $785 | — | 9 | +$18 |
Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 17-23? ● closed | $95 | $113 | — | 7 | +$17 |
Will "They Will Kill You" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? ● closed | $96 | $85 | — | 6 | $-11 |
| Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 19, 2026? ● closed | $266 | $275 | — | 1 | +$8 |
Will 45 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 17-23? ● closed | $186 | $194 | — | 3 | +$8 |
Will 40-44 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16? ● closed | $0 | $6 | — | 4 | +$6 |
| Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election? ● closed | $0 | $5 | — | 1 | +$5 |
Will ChatGPT be back in as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 26? ● closed | $17 | $13 | — | 2 | $-5 |
Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16? ● closed | $3.0K | $3.0K | — | 1 | +$3 |
Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16? ● closed | $76 | $79 | — | 3 | +$3 |
Will 40-44 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 17-23? ● closed | $26 | $29 | — | 2 | +$2 |
Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026? ● closed | $44 | $46 | — | 4 | +$1 |
Recent Trades (10)
YES$72@ 80.7¢Will LaGuardia Airport (LGA) be open to departures by 2:00 PM ET on March 23, 2026?6 days ago
YES$911@ 82.3¢Will LaGuardia Airport (LGA) be open to departures by 2:00 PM ET on March 23, 2026?6 days ago
Trading Activity · 90d
5 active days
Category Accuracy
Geopolitics
$39.8K78%7/9
Politics
$38.1K80%4/5
Entry Timing Before Resolution
1d–7d
2 betsunresolved0/0
>7d
6 betsunresolved0/0
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