PnL by Market (52)1 open51 closed
● open No · $12.3Kin $11.2Kunreal +$1.0K
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
● closedin $7.2Kout $11.1K
● closedin $14.8Kout $18.6K
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
● closedin $4.0Kout $801
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
● closedin $4.5Kout $1.4K
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
● closedin $4.8Kout $1.9K
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
● closedin $11.8Kout $9.5K
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?
● closedin $9.8Kout $7.7K
Seahawks vs. Patriots
● closedin $4.0Kout $5.8K
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
● closedin $5.6Kout $3.9K
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?
● closedin $6.6Kout $7.6K
Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?
● closedin $1.5Kout $510
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
● closedin $3.4Kout $4.2K
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
● closedin $6.3Kout $5.6K
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?
● closedin $4.8Kout $5.4K
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
● closedin $7.0Kout $7.6K
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
● closedin $13.1Kout $12.6K
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
● closedin $4.0Kout $4.5K
US forces enter Iran by March 14?
● closedin $7.3Kout $7.8K
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
● closedin $5.0Kout $4.5K
US strikes Iran by February 1, 2026?
● closedin $6.0Kout $6.4K
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?
● closedin $3.0Kout $3.3K
Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?
● closedin $2.8Kout $3.1K
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?
● closedin $2.0Kout $2.2K
Government shutdown on Saturday?
● closedin $999out $757
Democratic sweep?
● closedin $2.6Kout $2.8K
Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?
● closedin $1.8Kout $1.6K
Will Trump say "America" or "American" 50+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?
● closedin $203
ICE shooter charged by March 31?
● closedin $826out $1.0K
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
● closedin $1.4Kout $1.6K
Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged?
● closedin $1.8Kout $2.0K
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
● closedin $2.2Kout $2.0K
US government shutdown Saturday?
● closedin $11.0Kout $11.2K
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
● closedin $999out $866
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?
● closedin $284out $151
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?
● closedin $200out $322
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
● closedin $3.3Kout $3.4K
Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025
● closedin $679out $785
H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?
● closedin $1.1Kout $1.2K
Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?
● closedin $600out $679
US strikes Iran by January 17, 2026?
● closedin $1.5Kout $1.6K
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?
● closedin $314out $376
Kristi Noem out by March 31?
● closedin $1.4Kout $1.5K
● closedin $492out $520
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
● closedin $191out $166
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
● closedin $200out $214
US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?
● closedin $163out $173
US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?
● closedin $4.9Kout $4.9K
US strikes Iran by February 7, 2026?
● closedin $866out $872
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?
● closedin $166out $172
Will the government shutdown last 4 days or more?
● closedin $50out $45
● closedin $997out $1.0K
| Market | Invested | Received | Unrealized | Trades | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? ●open No· $12.3K | $11.2K | $0 | +$1.0K | 1 | $-10195 |
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? ● closed | $7.2K | $11.1K | — | 18 | +$3.9K |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? ● closed | $14.8K | $18.6K | — | 10 | +$3.8K |
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026? ● closed | $4.0K | $801 | — | 5 | $-3221 |
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting? ● closed | $4.5K | $1.4K | — | 2 | $-3069 |
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? ● closed | $4.8K | $1.9K | — | 6 | $-2933 |
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? ● closed | $11.8K | $9.5K | — | 21 | $-2279 |
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more? ● closed | $9.8K | $7.7K | — | 19 | $-2139 |
Seahawks vs. Patriots ● closed | $4.0K | $5.8K | — | 2 | +$1.8K |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting? ● closed | $5.6K | $3.9K | — | 54 | $-1758 |
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026? ● closed | $6.6K | $7.6K | — | 3 | +$998 |
Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more? ● closed | $1.5K | $510 | — | 3 | $-989 |
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? ● closed | $3.4K | $4.2K | — | 2 | +$775 |
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026? ● closed | $6.3K | $5.6K | — | 11 | $-774 |
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6? ● closed | $4.8K | $5.4K | — | 31 | +$612 |
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? ● closed | $7.0K | $7.6K | — | 14 | +$570 |
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? ● closed | $13.1K | $12.6K | — | 20 | $-530 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? ● closed | $4.0K | $4.5K | — | 6 | +$483 |
US forces enter Iran by March 14? ● closed | $7.3K | $7.8K | — | 18 | +$475 |
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? ● closed | $5.0K | $4.5K | — | 9 | $-470 |
US strikes Iran by February 1, 2026? ● closed | $6.0K | $6.4K | — | 4 | +$424 |
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11? ● closed | $3.0K | $3.3K | — | 7 | +$288 |
Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election? ● closed | $2.8K | $3.1K | — | 4 | +$257 |
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026? ● closed | $2.0K | $2.2K | — | 4 | +$246 |
Government shutdown on Saturday? ● closed | $999 | $757 | — | 2 | $-242 |
Democratic sweep? ● closed | $2.6K | $2.8K | — | 4 | +$208 |
Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas? ● closed | $1.8K | $1.6K | — | 4 | $-204 |
Will Trump say "America" or "American" 50+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address? ● closed | $203 | $0 | — | 1 | $-203 |
ICE shooter charged by March 31? ● closed | $826 | $1.0K | — | 4 | +$192 |
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15? ● closed | $1.4K | $1.6K | — | 2 | +$186 |
Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged? ● closed | $1.8K | $2.0K | — | 3 | +$173 |
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? ● closed | $2.2K | $2.0K | — | 7 | $-172 |
US government shutdown Saturday? ● closed | $11.0K | $11.2K | — | 10 | +$172 |
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? ● closed | $999 | $866 | — | 2 | $-133 |
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31? ● closed | $284 | $151 | — | 12 | $-133 |
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize? ● closed | $200 | $322 | — | 2 | +$122 |
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? ● closed | $3.3K | $3.4K | — | 4 | +$121 |
Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025 ● closed | $679 | $785 | — | 2 | +$106 |
H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026? ● closed | $1.1K | $1.2K | — | 7 | +$102 |
Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7? ● closed | $600 | $679 | — | 3 | +$80 |
US strikes Iran by January 17, 2026? ● closed | $1.5K | $1.6K | — | 2 | +$74 |
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026? ● closed | $314 | $376 | — | 4 | +$63 |
Kristi Noem out by March 31? ● closed | $1.4K | $1.5K | — | 2 | +$48 |
| Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? ● closed | $492 | $520 | — | 2 | +$28 |
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? ● closed | $191 | $166 | — | 2 | $-25 |
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? ● closed | $200 | $214 | — | 2 | +$14 |
US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026? ● closed | $163 | $173 | — | 2 | +$10 |
US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026? ● closed | $4.9K | $4.9K | — | 3 | +$10 |
US strikes Iran by February 7, 2026? ● closed | $866 | $872 | — | 2 | +$6 |
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026? ● closed | $166 | $172 | — | 2 | +$6 |
Will the government shutdown last 4 days or more? ● closed | $50 | $45 | — | 2 | $-5 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? ● closed | $997 | $1.0K | — | 16 | +$4 |
Recent Trades (2)
Trading Activity · 90d
1 active days
Category Accuracy
Geopolitics
$26.0K100%1/1
Politics
$1.5K100%2/2
Entry Timing Before Resolution
1d–7d
1 betsunresolved0/0
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