Ahpo
0xcdb1f1ef8213c06911e4ba6a884176c5571e276c
$-2322
Real PnL
-0.9%
ROI
$23.5K
Volume
$270.1K
Invested
0.0%
YES Bias
13
Trades (DB)
30/43
Markets Won
whale0Whale Activity — large wallet trades $10k+ in last 24h
Open positions:34 markets·current value $53.8K·25 closed
PnL by Market (59)34 open25 closed
Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?
● open No · $6.5Kin $6.5Kout $1.2Kunreal +$36
● open No · $7.3Kin $6.2Kout $914unreal $-21
Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in March 2026 (ET)?
● open No · $2.1Kin $2.0Kunreal +$14
Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?
● open No · $5.7Kin $2.1Kout $461unreal +$34
● open No · $1.7Kout $49unreal +$1.6K
● open No · $2.0Kin $1.6Kunreal +$14
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?
● open No · $2.5Kin $1.3Kunreal +$30
Maduro exiled to Russia by March 31?
● open No · $999in $999unreal $-1
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?
● open No · $1.0Kin $5.8Kout $4.9Kunreal $-6
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
● open No · $1.1Kin $794unreal +$5
● open No · $674in $689unreal $-16
● open No · $1.5Kin $1.1Kout $497unreal +$12
● open No · $1.6Kin $3.1Kout $3.6Kunreal +$50
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
● open No · $512in $510unreal +$3
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
● open No · $5.7Kin $2.4Kout $1.9Kunreal +$28
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by March 31, 2026?
● open No · $350in $351unreal $-0
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by March 31?
● open No · $249in $248unreal +$0
Will the S&P 500 Index lose at least 5% on any day in Q1?
● open No · $227in $2.0Kout $1.8Kunreal $-2
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?
● open Yes · $188in $185unreal +$3
Will Sweden join the Board of Peace?
● open No · $1.2Kin $197unreal +$18
● open Yes · $8.3Kout $180unreal $-335
AI Industry Downturn by December 31, 2026?
● open No · $539in $511out $377unreal +$1
Will Elon Musk pay TSA salaries?
● open No · $123in $123unreal +$0
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
● open No · $115in $114unreal +$1
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the June 2026 meeting?
● open No · $126in $105unreal +$2
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?
● open No · $99out $97unreal +$4
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?
● open No · $133out $61unreal +$12
S&P 500 breaks its losing streak this week?
● open Yes · $40in $215out $160unreal $-2
Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?
● open No · $26in $26
X Money released by April 10, 2026?
● open No · $15in $14unreal +$1
Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?
● open No · $12in $34out $22unreal $-0
Will the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?
● open Yes · $31in $0out $9unreal $-2
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?
● open No · $7in $11out $4unreal +$0
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?
● open No · $1.1Kin $396out $382unreal +$10
● closedin $155.0Kout $170.0K
Will SpaceX IPO by March 31, 2026?
● closedin $819out $3.6K
● closedin $27.2Kout $27.7K
● closedin $1.1Kout $1.3K
Will BP be acquired before 2027?
● closedout $143
Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?
● closedout $141
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 24, 2026?
● closedin $2.4Kout $2.6K
Military action against Iran ends on March 31, 2026?
● closedin $839out $915
US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026?
● closedin $766out $832
● closedin $839out $902
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
● closedout $45
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?
● closedout $35
● closedin $18.6Kout $18.7K
Military action against Iran ends on March 25, 2026?
● closedin $4.0Kout $4.0K
● closedin $13.4Kout $13.4K
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?
● closedin $190out $203
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 24, 2026?
● closedin $279out $284
Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
+$2● closedin $202out $204
● closedin $2.1Kout $2.1K
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
● closedin $28out $27
● closedin $1.1Kout $1.1K
● closedin $1.1Kout $1.1K
● closedin $357out $358
● closedin $13out $13
Military action against Iran ends on March 23, 2026?
● closedin $100out $100
| Market | Invested | Received | Unrealized | Trades | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting? ●open No· $6.5K | $6.5K | $1.2K | +$36 | 13 | $-5302 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? ●open No· $7.3K | $6.2K | $914 | $-21 | 38 | $-5292 |
Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in March 2026 (ET)? ●open No· $2.1K | $2.0K | $0 | +$14 | 2 | $-2028 |
Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting? ●open No· $5.7K | $2.1K | $461 | +$34 | 6 | $-1626 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March? ●open No· $1.7K | $0 | $49 | +$1.6K | 1 | +$1.6K |
| Will Norway join the Board of Peace? ●open No· $2.0K | $1.6K | $0 | +$14 | 1 | $-1554 |
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026? ●open No· $2.5K | $1.3K | $0 | +$30 | 17 | $-1225 |
Maduro exiled to Russia by March 31? ●open No· $999 | $999 | $0 | $-1 | 1 | $-1000 |
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June? ●open No· $1.0K | $5.8K | $4.9K | $-6 | 127 | $-935 |
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? ●open No· $1.1K | $794 | $0 | +$5 | 7 | $-789 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? ●open No· $674 | $689 | $0 | $-16 | 1 | $-705 |
| Netanyahu out by March 31? ●open No· $1.5K | $1.1K | $497 | +$12 | 11 | $-583 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? ●open No· $1.6K | $3.1K | $3.6K | +$50 | 16 | +$555 |
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? ●open No· $512 | $510 | $0 | +$3 | 1 | $-507 |
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? ●open No· $5.7K | $2.4K | $1.9K | +$28 | 7 | $-482 |
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by March 31, 2026? ●open No· $350 | $351 | $0 | $-0 | 3 | $-351 |
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by March 31? ●open No· $249 | $248 | $0 | +$0 | 1 | $-248 |
Will the S&P 500 Index lose at least 5% on any day in Q1? ●open No· $227 | $2.0K | $1.8K | $-2 | 10 | $-220 |
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition? ●open Yes· $188 | $185 | $0 | +$3 | 2 | $-182 |
Will Sweden join the Board of Peace? ●open No· $1.2K | $197 | $0 | +$18 | 1 | $-179 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June? ●open Yes· $8.3K | $0 | $180 | $-335 | 1 | $-155 |
AI Industry Downturn by December 31, 2026? ●open No· $539 | $511 | $377 | +$1 | 11 | $-133 |
Will Elon Musk pay TSA salaries? ●open No· $123 | $123 | $0 | +$0 | 2 | $-123 |
Starmer out by June 30, 2026? ●open No· $115 | $114 | $0 | +$1 | 1 | $-113 |
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the June 2026 meeting? ●open No· $126 | $105 | $0 | +$2 | 2 | $-103 |
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? ●open No· $99 | $0 | $97 | +$4 | 6 | +$101 |
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? ●open No· $133 | $0 | $61 | +$12 | 1 | +$73 |
S&P 500 breaks its losing streak this week? ●open Yes· $40 | $215 | $160 | $-2 | 8 | $-57 |
Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30? ●open No· $26 | $26 | $0 | +$0 | 1 | $-26 |
X Money released by April 10, 2026? ●open No· $15 | $14 | $0 | +$1 | 1 | $-14 |
Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026? ●open No· $12 | $34 | $22 | $-0 | 2 | $-12 |
Will the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting? ●open Yes· $31 | $0 | $9 | $-2 | 3 | +$7 |
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting? ●open No· $7 | $11 | $4 | +$0 | 2 | $-7 |
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026? ●open No· $1.1K | $396 | $382 | +$10 | 3 | $-5 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? ● closed | $155.0K | $170.0K | — | 0 | +$15.0K |
Will SpaceX IPO by March 31, 2026? ● closed | $819 | $3.6K | — | 19 | +$2.8K |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31? ● closed | $27.2K | $27.7K | — | 6 | +$511 |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30? ● closed | $1.1K | $1.3K | — | 11 | +$199 |
Will BP be acquired before 2027? ● closed | $0 | $143 | — | 1 | +$143 |
Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027? ● closed | $0 | $141 | — | 1 | +$141 |
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 24, 2026? ● closed | $2.4K | $2.6K | — | 3 | +$115 |
Military action against Iran ends on March 31, 2026? ● closed | $839 | $915 | — | 3 | +$76 |
US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026? ● closed | $766 | $832 | — | 9 | +$65 |
| Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? ● closed | $839 | $902 | — | 12 | +$63 |
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? ● closed | $0 | $45 | — | 1 | +$45 |
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1? ● closed | $0 | $35 | — | 1 | +$35 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of March? ● closed | $18.6K | $18.7K | — | 21 | +$19 |
Military action against Iran ends on March 25, 2026? ● closed | $4.0K | $4.0K | — | 7 | +$16 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? ● closed | $13.4K | $13.4K | — | 27 | +$15 |
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027? ● closed | $190 | $203 | — | 3 | +$13 |
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 24, 2026? ● closed | $279 | $284 | — | 3 | +$4 |
| Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections? ● closed | $202 | $204 | — | 2 | +$2 |
| Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner ● closed | $2.1K | $2.1K | — | 5 | +$2 |
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? ● closed | $28 | $27 | — | 4 | $-1 |
| Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch? ● closed | $1.1K | $1.1K | — | 1 | +$1 |
| Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs FURIA - Map 1 Winner ● closed | $1.1K | $1.1K | — | 1 | +$1 |
| Will Social Democrats win the most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election? ● closed | $357 | $358 | — | 1 | +$0 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March? ● closed | $13 | $13 | — | 3 | +$0 |
Military action against Iran ends on March 23, 2026? ● closed | $100 | $100 | — | 1 | +$0 |
Recent Trades (20)
Trading Activity · 90d
10 active days
Category Accuracy
Politics
$162.8K80%4/5
Geopolitics
$45.5K75%3/4
Entry Timing Before Resolution
1d–7d
1 betsunresolved0/0
>7d
18 betsunresolved0/0
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