sorcerer.00
0xeb6f0a13ea8c5a7a0514c25495adbe815c1025f0
$-6749
Real PnL
-29.8%
ROI
$16.1K
Volume
$22.6K
Invested
0.0%
YES Bias
7
Trades (DB)
12/18
Markets Won
whale0Whale Activity — large wallet trades $10k+ in last 24h
Open positions:21 markets·current value $26.5K·8 closed
PnL by Market (29)21 open8 closed
● open No · $995in $994out $7.5Kunreal +$1
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
● open Yes · $6.4Kin $3.4Kout $679unreal $-795
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
● open Yes · $2.1Kin $3.5Kout $1.5Kunreal $-146
US recession by end of 2026?
● open Yes · $3.1Kin $4.1Kout $2.1Kunreal +$12
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
● open No · $4.0Kin $1.9Kunreal +$298
Will Jalen Duren win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?
● open Yes · $964in $891unreal +$9
● open Yes · $865in $855unreal +$10
Will JB Bickerstaff win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?
● open Yes · $1.4Kin $904unreal +$81
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?
● open No · $2.2Kin $368out $115unreal $-416
Will Italy qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
● open Yes · $482in $483unreal $-1
Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?
● open Yes · $320in $336unreal $-16
● open Yes · $319in $334unreal $-16
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
● open Yes · $352in $340unreal +$12
● open No · $259in $397out $142unreal +$4
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in March 2026?
● open No · $212in $182unreal +$31
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
● open Yes · $69in $69unreal $-1
● open Yes · $4in $492out $542unreal $-0
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?
● open Yes · $930out $1unreal +$40
Will Ryan Rollins win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?
● open Yes · $19out $0unreal $-35
Will Clayton Fuller win the GA-14 special election?
● open Yes · $1.7Kout $10unreal +$16
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
● open No · $4in $4unreal $-0
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?
● closedout $750
● closedin $340out $500
● closedout $154
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
● closedout $112
Will Jalen Johnson win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?
● closedin $3out $56
North Carolina Tar Heels vs. Connecticut Huskies (W)
● closedin $2.5Kout $2.5K
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?
● closedin $200out $190
Will Andrew Nembhard win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?
● closedout $0
| Market | Invested | Received | Unrealized | Trades | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Netanyahu out by March 31? ●open No· $995 | $994 | $7.5K | +$1 | 6 | +$6.5K |
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? ●open Yes· $6.4K | $3.4K | $679 | $-795 | 36 | $-3547 |
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? ●open Yes· $2.1K | $3.5K | $1.5K | $-146 | 39 | $-2221 |
US recession by end of 2026? ●open Yes· $3.1K | $4.1K | $2.1K | +$12 | 91 | $-1957 |
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? ●open No· $4.0K | $1.9K | $0 | +$298 | 26 | $-1614 |
Will Jalen Duren win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player? ●open Yes· $964 | $891 | $0 | +$9 | 1 | $-883 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? ●open Yes· $865 | $855 | $0 | +$10 | 2 | $-845 |
Will JB Bickerstaff win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year? ●open Yes· $1.4K | $904 | $0 | +$81 | 26 | $-824 |
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026? ●open No· $2.2K | $368 | $115 | $-416 | 4 | $-669 |
Will Italy qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup? ●open Yes· $482 | $483 | $0 | $-1 | 2 | $-484 |
Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026? ●open Yes· $320 | $336 | $0 | $-16 | 1 | $-352 |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? ●open Yes· $319 | $334 | $0 | $-16 | 1 | $-350 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? ●open Yes· $352 | $340 | $0 | +$12 | 2 | $-329 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? ●open No· $259 | $397 | $142 | +$4 | 140 | $-251 |
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in March 2026? ●open No· $212 | $182 | $0 | +$31 | 1 | $-151 |
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? ●open Yes· $69 | $69 | $0 | $-1 | 1 | $-70 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? ●open Yes· $4 | $492 | $542 | $-0 | 41 | +$50 |
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine? ●open Yes· $930 | $0 | $1 | +$40 | 1 | +$41 |
Will Ryan Rollins win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player? ●open Yes· $19 | $0 | $0 | $-35 | 1 | $-35 |
Will Clayton Fuller win the GA-14 special election? ●open Yes· $1.7K | $0 | $10 | +$16 | 1 | +$26 |
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04? ●open No· $4 | $4 | $0 | $-0 | 1 | $-4 |
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31? ● closed | $0 | $750 | — | 1 | +$750 |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-03-26? ● closed | $340 | $500 | — | 1 | +$160 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting? ● closed | $0 | $154 | — | 36 | +$154 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? ● closed | $0 | $112 | — | 4 | +$112 |
Will Jalen Johnson win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player? ● closed | $3 | $56 | — | 6 | +$52 |
North Carolina Tar Heels vs. Connecticut Huskies (W) ● closed | $2.5K | $2.5K | — | 3 | +$38 |
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)? ● closed | $200 | $190 | — | 13 | $-10 |
Will Andrew Nembhard win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player? ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 1 | +$0 |
Recent Trades (20)
YES$112@ 1.8¢Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?2 days ago
YES$138@ 1.9¢Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?2 days ago
YES$103@ 2.7¢Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?3 days ago
YES$2.9K@ 94.8¢Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?4 days ago
Trading Activity · 90d
10 active days
Category Accuracy
Entry Timing Before Resolution
1d–7d
4 betsunresolved0/0
>7d
17 betsunresolved0/0
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