US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?

Geopolitics→Closes: about 2 monthsLiquidity: $243.1K24h Vol: $5.0M

100.0¢

YES

0.1¢

99.9¢

Spread

conv0Conviction — % of recent trades going one direction (30 min window)whale0Whale Activity — large wallet trades $10k+ in last 24hedge0Edge Score — (Conviction + Whale) / 2, overall signal strengthmom0Momentum — trade frequency vs baseline (30 min window)

🏆 Biggest bet:YES$20.5K@ 100¢·dumbfuq-p0Iycantchangepfp

Price History

Orderbook YES/NO

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Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.climax

Net Order Flow

Net Order Flow = YES buy volume minus NO buy volume. Positive (green) = more money betting YES. Negative (red) = more money betting NO. Positive flow at stable/falling price often signals smart accumulation.

1h+$0

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24h+$0

Position ConcentrationWallets with ≥15% share of 7-day volume. >40% = single player dominates = manipulation risk or thin liquidity. Multiple large holders may indicate coordinated activity.

Top Holders · 30d

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Accumulation

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Live Tapeupdated less than a minute ago

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🐋 Whale Trades$10,000+Δ now

YES$17.8K@ 99.7¢

nojnn0x7f9e…3a0e

🐋+0.3%about 1 month ago

YES$20.5K@ 99.8¢

dumbfuq-p0Iycantchangepfp0x0a54…4a03