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Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Geopolitics→Closes: 13 daysLiquidity: $42.0K24h Vol: $315.7K
12.5¢
YES
87.5¢
NO
78.0¢
Spread
conv0Conviction — % of recent trades going one direction (30 min window)whale0Whale Activity — large wallet trades $10k+ in last 24hedge0Edge Score — (Conviction + Whale) / 2, overall signal strengthmom0Momentum — trade frequency vs baseline (30 min window)
24h sample:3 trades100% 🐋0% YES100% NO
🏆 Biggest bet:NO$13.5K@ 93¢·0x267d…0c13

Price History

Orderbook YES/NO
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Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.climax

Net Order Flow

Net Order Flow = YES buy volume minus NO buy volume. Positive (green) = more money betting YES. Negative (red) = more money betting NO. Positive flow at stable/falling price often signals smart accumulation.
1h+$0
6h$10.2K
24h$35.4K

VWAP vs Price

VWAP = Volume Weighted Average Price — the true average price weighted by how much money traded at each level. Current price above VWAP = overbought vs recent activity. Below = trading at a discount.
Current12.5¢
VWAP 24h90.7¢▼ discount
VWAP 7d88.6¢
Position ConcentrationWallets with ≥15% share of 7-day volume. >40% = single player dominates = manipulation risk or thin liquidity. Multiple large holders may indicate coordinated activity.

Top Holders · 30d

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Volume Profile · 30d (price × volume)

95¢
$0
90¢
$25.3K
85¢
$22.0K
80¢
$11.2K
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
← now
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 90¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Accumulation

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Live Tapeupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Whale Trades$10,000+Δ now
NO$10.2K@ 86.0¢0xf155…76bd🐋+1.7%about 3 hours ago
NO$13.5K@ 93.1¢0x267d…0c13🐋-6.0%about 16 hours ago
NO$11.8K@ 92.0¢0xc589…f217🐋-4.9%about 20 hours ago
NO$11.8K@ 88.6¢0x267d…0c13🐋-1.3%2 days ago
NO$11.2K@ 81.9¢0x51ff…4818🐋+6.8%6 days ago

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💡 Smart Wallets · 7d
No smart wallet activity