US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?

GeopoliticsSettlement: YESLiquidity: $98.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $77.8KEvent: Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?
100.0¢
YES payout
0.0¢
NO payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:11 trades$15.8K trackedsource coverage 20%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 117 min agoofficial metadata 36 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:YES · $4.4K net·3 wallets·$4.4K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYYES$5.0K@ 39¢·paddaa

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome YES. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-12-31 23:59 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: Not supplied by the market
Outcome meaning

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Read full resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count. The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
The-Joker4 linked markets · $24.8K gross
polli0023 linked markets · $14.9K gross
paddaa3 linked markets · $14.0K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

Lifecycleresolved

Signed Order Flow

1hYES · $0
6hYES · $10.7K
24hYES · $15.8K

YES price VWAP

Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h79.8¢▲ above by 20.2pp
VWAP 7d64.3¢
Largest observed holders

Largest holders

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YES price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$5.8K
90¢
$0
85¢
$1.9K
80¢
$3.0K
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$1.4K
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$3.7K
40¢
$3.1K
35¢
$7.6K
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 35¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.