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Saints vs. Ravens

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: about 1 hourLiquidity: $436.6KOfficial 24h Vol: $694.2KEvent: Saints vs. Ravens
10.5¢
Saints
89.5¢
Ravens
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection17Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets66Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority64Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 86%💡 10 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:64 trades$296.2K tracked11% 🐋source coverage 43%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 2 min agoofficial metadata 4 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Ravens · $70.6K net·10 wallets(3🐋)·$106.3K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYRavens$41.6K@ 77¢·mooseborzoi

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

REVIEW Ravens SETUP
What the tape says

Ravens pressure: $50.1K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$50.1K
6h
−$134.4K
tracked
$296.2K

10 verified profitable wallets: Ravens · $70.6K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 86% · priority 64

Since latest large flow: -11.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •No hard data-quality flag; still verify rules, news and orderbook depth.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Ravens or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-20 17:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nfl.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•If Saints wins, the market will resolve to "Saints".

•If Ravens wins, the market will resolve to "Ravens".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for September 20 at 1:00PM ET: If Saints wins, the market will resolve to "Saints". If Ravens wins, the market will resolve to "Ravens". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely or ends in a tie, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
raybanman2 linked markets · $448.9K gross
HomeRunHazard2 linked markets · $193.7K gross
maz262 linked markets · $91.5K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Saints@ 22.0¢2h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h INVALIDATED -9.0pp
Latest book event: Ravens UP 3.5pp · near-book depth $246.5K → $9.7K · 23s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Saints; negative values favor Ravens. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hRavens · $50.1K
6hRavens · $134.4K
24hRavens · $141.8K

Saints price VWAP

Volume-weighted Saints price. Ravens fills are converted to the complementary Saints probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current10.5¢
VWAP 24h19.7¢▼ below by 9.2pp
VWAP 7d19.7¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Saints price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$6.1K
20¢
$194.9K
15¢
$72.6K
10¢
← now
$9.2K
5¢
$14.7K
0¢
$0

VPOC = 20¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYRavens$14.1K@ 83.0¢
iDARKenjoyer0xf68a…5b1b
🐋—18 minutes ago
BUYRavens$41.6K@ 77.0¢
mooseborzoi0x84cf…2f63
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYRavens$23.7K@ 79.0¢
fkcvffcjt0x67ac…edf1
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYRavens$19.8K@ 79.0¢
surfandturf0x9f2f…2ca8
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYRavens$15.0K@ 79.0¢
jaytee1580xa2c9…2c23
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYSaints$33.0K@ 22.0¢
raybanman0xcbc6…ec62
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYSaints$11.0K@ 22.0¢
wan1230xde7b…5f4b
🐋—about 6 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

mooseborzoiRavens$41.6K
BUY VWAP 77.0¢·1 fill
raybanmanSaints$33.0K
BUY VWAP 22.0¢·1 fill
fkcvffcjtRavens$28.9K
BUY VWAP 79.6¢·3 fills
surfandturfRavens$19.8K
BUY VWAP 79.0¢·1 fill
HomeRunHazardRavens$18.4K
BUY VWAP 88.6¢·5 fills
RN1Ravens$18.4K
BUY VWAP 84.6¢·4 fills
jaytee158Ravens$15.0K
BUY VWAP 79.0¢·1 fill
iDARKenjoyerRavens$14.1K
BUY VWAP 83.0¢·1 fill
wan123Saints$11.0K
BUY VWAP 22.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.