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LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: about 2 hoursLiquidity: $649.9KOfficial 24h Vol: $807.6KEvent: LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs
100.0¢
G2 Esports
0.1¢
Movistar KOI
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection3Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets24Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 61%💡 24 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:238 trades$352.0K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 44%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 43 min agoofficial metadata 4 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:G2 Esports · $12.1K net·24 wallets·$49.9K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYG2 Esports$39.3K@ 100¢·48binn

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Movistar KOI pressure: $11.8K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$11.8K
6h
+$86.9K
tracked
$352.0K

24 verified profitable wallets: G2 Esports · $12.1K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 61% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 43 minutes old.
  • •Less than 2h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Movistar KOI or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-20 19:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "G2 Esports" if G2 Esports win Game 1 against Movistar KOI.

•This market will resolve to "Movistar KOI" if Movistar KOI win Game 1 against G2 Esports.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL Grand final match between G2 Esports and Movistar KOI in the LEC Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 20, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "G2 Esports" if G2 Esports win Game 1 against Movistar KOI. This market will resolve to "Movistar KOI" if Movistar KOI win Game 1 against G2 Esports. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 4, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 20, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
five51203 linked markets · $95.3K gross
fkcvffcjt4 linked markets · $79.3K gross
BrotherObama2 linked markets · $79.0K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: G2 Esports DOWN 6.5pp · near-book depth $5.3K → $724 · 1s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor G2 Esports; negative values favor Movistar KOI. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMovistar KOI · $11.8K
6hG2 Esports · $86.9K
24hG2 Esports · $90.2K

G2 Esports price VWAP

Volume-weighted G2 Esports price. Movistar KOI fills are converted to the complementary G2 Esports probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h77.7¢▲ above by 22.3pp
VWAP 7d77.7¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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G2 Esports price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$129.5K
90¢
$5.1K
85¢
$6.1K
80¢
$4.7K
75¢
$7.7K
70¢
$20.8K
65¢
$101.2K
60¢
$50.8K
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$11.0K
40¢
$11.4K
35¢
$3.7K
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLG2 Esports$13.5K@ 99.9¢
five51200xc1c7…f0a7
🐋—about 1 hour ago
SELLG2 Esports$10.7K@ 99.9¢
lhz60020xd3bc…5bd2
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYG2 Esports$39.3K@ 99.9¢
48binn0xe16e…bd58
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYG2 Esports$10.1K@ 67.0¢
Diabolical-Prize0x7c37…6aeb
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYG2 Esports$16.8K@ 67.0¢
Diabolical-Prize0x7c37…6aeb
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYG2 Esports$13.0K@ 65.0¢
stop1234444440x3f97…4059
🐋—about 2 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winner
100.0¢$994.3Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs
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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

48binnG2 Esports$45.0K
BUY VWAP 97.9¢·4 fills
Diabolical-PrizeG2 Esports$32.1K
BUY VWAP 67.0¢·4 fills
Jer-PredictG2 Esports$13.3K
BUY VWAP 63.9¢·2 fills
stop123444444G2 Esports$13.0K
BUY VWAP 65.0¢·1 fill
fkgggg2mouzfuriaG2 Esports$11.0K
BUY VWAP 85.9¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.