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Spread: Eagles (-6.5)

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 11 minutesLiquidity: $48.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $264.1KEvent: Eagles vs. Titans
62.0¢
Eagles
38.0¢
Titans
8.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection14Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution21Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 76%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:29 trades$119.3K tracked17% 🐋source coverage 45%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 19 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYTitans$17.4K@ 47¢·wr0ngw4yb3tt0r

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

Eagles pressure: $16.9K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$16.9K
6h
+$10.0K
tracked
$119.3K

1 verified profitable wallet: Titans · $2.6K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
8.0¢displayed spread

Expensive before size: wait for tighter quotes or reduce size.

Data confidence 76% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +13.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 19 minutes old.
  • •Spread is 8.0¢ before size-dependent slippage.
  • •Executable BUY price moved 13.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Eagles or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-20 17:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nfl.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Eagles" if the Eagles win the game by 7 or more points.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Titans". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Titans".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for September 20 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Eagles" if the Eagles win the game by 7 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Titans". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Titans". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
Kch-Temp3 linked markets · $158.0K gross
Herdonia3 linked markets · $108.2K gross
ic4cream3 linked markets · $72.5K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Eagles@ 53.0¢1h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Titans@ 48.0¢1h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp
Latest book event: Titans DOWN 4.5pp · near-book depth $325 → $979 · 1s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Eagles; negative values favor Titans. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hEagles · $16.9K
6hEagles · $10.0K
24hEagles · $10.0K

Eagles price VWAP

Volume-weighted Eagles price. Titans fills are converted to the complementary Eagles probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current62.0¢
VWAP 24h53.1¢▲ above by 8.9pp
VWAP 7d53.1¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Eagles price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
← now
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$123.0K
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYEagles$15.9K@ 53.0¢
SDTrading0x16bb…8492
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYTitans$17.0K@ 47.0¢
wr0ngw4yb3tt0r0x224a…a3d5
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYEagles$15.9K@ 53.0¢
SDTrading0x16bb…8492
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYTitans$17.4K@ 47.0¢
wr0ngw4yb3tt0r0x224a…a3d5
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYTitans$10.0K@ 46.0¢
wr0ngw4yb3tt0r0x224a…a3d5
🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

wr0ngw4yb3tt0rTitans$49.6K
BUY VWAP 46.8¢·5 fills
SDTradingEagles$31.8K
BUY VWAP 53.0¢·2 fills
mooseborzoiEagles$13.5K
BUY VWAP 53.2¢·11 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.