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LoL: DN SOOPers vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 1 Winner

● quote 37s ago
Sports→Closes: about 4 hoursLiquidity: $1.4MOfficial 24h Vol: $1.1MEvent: LoL: DN SOOPers vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group
99.9¢
YES
1.0¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly5Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets24Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 60%💡 9 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:272 trades$457.3K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 40%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 49 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:NO $28.4K·9 wallets(2🐋)·$120.7K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLDN SOOPers (YES)$53.1K@ 100¢·5e46h

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
−$683
6h
−$105.7K
tracked
$457.3K

9 verified profitable wallets: −$28.4K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 60% · priority 0

Since latest confirmed build: -7.9pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 49 minutes old.
  • •Less than 4h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-22 17:20 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL match between DN SOOPers and Kiwoom DRX in the LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group, initially scheduled for August 22, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "DN SOOPers" if DN SOOPers win Game 1 against Kiwoom DRX. This market will resolve to "Kiwoom DRX" if Kiwoom DRX win Game 1 against DN SOOPers. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 5, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 22, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
1111111111152 linked markets · $90.3K gross
5e46h2 linked markets · $73.5K gross
fkcvffcjt2 linked markets · $58.8K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

CONFIRMED BUILDBUY Kiwoom DRX@ 8.0¢58m ago
15m UNAVAILABLE
CONFIRMED BUILDBUY DN SOOPers@ 42.0¢58m ago
15m UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Kiwoom DRX@ 50.0¢1h ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: NO UP 4.0pp · near-book depth $3 → $5 · 1s

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h−$683
6h−$105.7K
24h−$105.7K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.9¢
VWAP 24h66.4¢▲ above by 33.5pp
VWAP 7d66.4¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$137.7K
90¢
$38.9K
85¢
$6.1K
80¢
$28
75¢
$0
70¢
$11.1K
65¢
$8.0K
60¢
$0
55¢
$72.7K
50¢
$25.8K
45¢
$18.0K
40¢
$29.1K
35¢
$66.9K
30¢
$18.3K
25¢
$3.7K
20¢
$3.4K
15¢
$9.2K
10¢
$6.2K
5¢
$2.3K
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
SELLDN SOOPers (YES)$53.1K@ 99.9¢
5e46h0xd487…053e
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYDN SOOPers (YES)$17.9K@ 98.9¢
5e46h0xd487…053e
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYDN SOOPers (YES)$11.6K@ 58.0¢
ChonkyChocolateCake0xf23c…9f81
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYDN SOOPers (YES)$11.6K@ 58.0¢
PEYZ-BIGGEST-FAN0xdaef…54e9
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYDN SOOPers (YES)$13.3K@ 59.1¢
Jer-Predict0xd391…b109
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYDN SOOPers (YES)$12.5K@ 58.0¢
DanNgl0x203b…46e1
🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

fkcvffcjtKiwoom DRX$19.0K
BUY VWAP 47.1¢·6 fills
5e46hDN SOOPers$17.9K
BUY VWAP 98.9¢·1 fill
Jer-PredictDN SOOPers$13.3K
BUY VWAP 59.1¢·1 fill
254321758Kiwoom DRX$13.0K
BUY VWAP 68.9¢·3 fills
DanNglDN SOOPers$12.5K
BUY VWAP 58.0¢·1 fill
ChonkyChocolateCakeDN SOOPers$11.6K
BUY VWAP 58.0¢·1 fill
PEYZ-BIGGEST-FANDN SOOPers$11.6K
BUY VWAP 58.0¢·1 fill
kami9Kiwoom DRX$11.0K
BUY VWAP 65.4¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.