PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

LoL: DN SOOPers vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 2 Winner

● quote 36s ago
Sports→Closes: about 3 hoursLiquidity: $603.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $484.7KEvent: LoL: DN SOOPers vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group
100.0¢
YES
0.1¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection6Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 86%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:133 trades$208.9K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 43%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 3 min agoofficial metadata 4 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:YES +$168·2 wallets·$29.3K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYDN SOOPers (YES)$47.1K@ 57¢·111111111115

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

NO pressure: −$12.5K YES-equivalent flow in 1h.

1h
−$12.5K
6h
+$133.5K
tracked
$208.9K

2 verified profitable wallets: +$168 YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 86% · priority 0

Since latest confirmed build: +7.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Less than 3h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from NO or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-22 17:20 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL match between DN SOOPers and Kiwoom DRX in the LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group, initially scheduled for August 22, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "DN SOOPers" if DN SOOPers win Game 2 against Kiwoom DRX. This market will resolve to "Kiwoom DRX" if Kiwoom DRX win Game 2 against DN SOOPers. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 5, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 22, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
5e46h3 linked markets · $92.1K gross
1111111111152 linked markets · $90.3K gross
fkcvffcjt2 linked markets · $58.8K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

CONFIRMED BUILDBUY DN SOOPers@ 93.0¢1h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY DN SOOPers@ 59.0¢1h ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY DN SOOPers@ 53.0¢2h ago
15m CONFIRMED +27.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: YES DOWN 4.1pp · near-book depth $529 → $1.1K · 5s

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h−$12.5K
6h+$133.5K
24h+$133.5K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h63.2¢▲ above by 36.8pp
VWAP 7d63.2¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$12.7K
90¢
$304
85¢
$2.5K
80¢
$10.9K
75¢
$11.0K
70¢
$10.4K
65¢
$1.7K
60¢
$16.2K
55¢
$119.5K
50¢
$23.7K
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 55¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
BUYDN SOOPers (YES)$47.1K@ 57.0¢
1111111111150xcd30…f316
🐋—about 2 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

LoL: DN SOOPers vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 1 Winner
100.0¢$1.2Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group
54.5¢$522.0Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Playoffs
18.5¢$2.8Mpriority90Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winner
100.0¢$970.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winner
54.5¢$939.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winner
46.5¢$901.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs
54.0¢$755.4Kpriority87Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
100.0¢$715.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

111111111115DN SOOPers$50.7K
BUY VWAP 57.1¢·2 fills
fkcvffcjtDN SOOPers$39.8K
BUY VWAP 54.6¢·10 fills
0xf201…527eDN SOOPers$14.7K
BUY VWAP 58.4¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.