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Monterrey Open: Clara Tauson vs Renata Zarazua

● quote 53s ago
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $72.5KOfficial 24h Vol: $61.1KEvent: Monterrey Open: Clara Tauson vs Renata Zarazua
73.5¢
Clara Tauson
26.5¢
Renata Zarazua
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection9Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets8Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution88Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 58%💡 3 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:8 trades$19.8K trackedsource coverage 32%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 53 min agoofficial metadata just now
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Clara Tauson · $1.2K net·3 wallets·$14.9K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYClara Tauson$4.8K@ 74¢·kingflop

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Renata Zarazua pressure: $1.8K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$1.8K
6h
+$7.1K
tracked
$19.8K

3 verified profitable wallets: Clara Tauson · $1.2K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 58% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 53 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Renata Zarazua or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-31 16:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Clara Tauson and Renata Zarazua in the Monterrey Open, originally scheduled for August 24, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Clara Tauson' if Clara Tauson advances against Renata Zarazua. This market will resolve to 'Renata Zarazua' if Renata Zarazua advances against Clara Tauson. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Clara Tauson; negative values favor Renata Zarazua. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hRenata Zarazua · $1.8K
6hClara Tauson · $7.1K
24hClara Tauson · $6.0K

Clara Tauson price VWAP

Volume-weighted Clara Tauson price. Renata Zarazua fills are converted to the complementary Clara Tauson probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current73.5¢
VWAP 24h73.4¢▲ above by 0.1pp
VWAP 7d73.4¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Clara Tauson price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
← now
$19.8K
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 70¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.