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US Open, Qualification WTA: Rebecca Marino vs Fiona Ferro

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $324.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $53.9KEvent: US Open, Qualification WTA: Rebecca Marino vs Fiona Ferro
41.5¢
Rebecca Marino
58.5¢
Fiona Ferro
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 58%
24h sample:7 trades$16.5K trackedsource coverage 31%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 142 min agoofficial metadata just now
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYRebecca Marino$6.4K@ 40¢·Jan777

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
+$12.5K
tracked
$16.5K

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 58% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 142 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-31 15:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Rebecca Marino and Fiona Ferro in the US Open, Qualification WTA, originally scheduled for August 24, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Rebecca Marino' if Rebecca Marino advances against Fiona Ferro. This market will resolve to 'Fiona Ferro' if Fiona Ferro advances against Rebecca Marino. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Rebecca Marino; negative values favor Fiona Ferro. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hRebecca Marino · $0
6hRebecca Marino · $12.5K
24hRebecca Marino · $12.5K

Rebecca Marino price VWAP

Volume-weighted Rebecca Marino price. Fiona Ferro fills are converted to the complementary Rebecca Marino probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current41.5¢
VWAP 24h39.6¢▲ above by 1.9pp
VWAP 7d39.6¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Rebecca Marino price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
← now
$12.2K
35¢
$4.3K
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 40¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

Jan777Rebecca Marino$14.5K
BUY VWAP 39.8¢·5 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.