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Atlanta Braves vs. Washington Nationals

● quote 1 min ago
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $58.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $150.1KEvent: Atlanta Braves vs. Washington Nationals
0.1¢
Atlanta Braves
100.0¢
Washington Nationals
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection30Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets75Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution92Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 80%💡 4 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:66 trades$32.9K trackedsource coverage 22%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 2 min agoofficial metadata 3 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Washington Nationals · $14.1K net·4 wallets·$19.0K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYWashington Nationals$9.3K@ 94¢·HomeRunHazard

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Washington Nationals pressure: $9.8K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$9.8K
6h
−$16.6K
tracked
$32.9K

4 verified profitable wallets: Washington Nationals · $14.1K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 80% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Washington Nationals or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-08 22:45 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Atlanta Braves" if the Atlanta Braves win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Washington Nationals" if the Washington Nationals win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Atlanta Braves and Washington Nationals, scheduled for September 1 at 6:45PM ET: This market will resolve to "Atlanta Braves" if the Atlanta Braves win the game. This market will resolve to "Washington Nationals" if the Washington Nationals win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Washington Nationals DOWN 2.5pp · near-book depth $69.2K → $6.3K · 21s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
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Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Atlanta Braves; negative values favor Washington Nationals. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hWashington Nationals · $9.8K
6hWashington Nationals · $16.6K
24hWashington Nationals · $16.7K

Atlanta Braves price VWAP

Volume-weighted Atlanta Braves price. Washington Nationals fills are converted to the complementary Atlanta Braves probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h21.7¢▼ below by 21.7pp
VWAP 7d21.7¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Atlanta Braves price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$2.2K
55¢
$2.2K
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$5.8K
30¢
$1.8K
25¢
$0
20¢
$2.8K
15¢
$1.3K
10¢
$0
5¢
$14.1K
0¢
← now
$2.5K

VPOC = 5¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

HomeRunHazardWashington Nationals$15.2K
BUY VWAP 79.1¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.