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Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner

● quote 14s ago
Sports→Closes: about 5 hoursLiquidity: $712.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $571.7KEvent: Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B
0.1¢
Legacy
100.0¢
Team Falcons
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection40Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets26Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 76%💡 13 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:143 trades$244.8K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 43%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 7 min agoofficial metadata 4 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Team Falcons · $18.7K net·13 wallets·$71.0K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLTeam Falcons$57.0K@ 100¢·omomom3

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

Legacy pressure: $97.7K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$97.7K
6h
+$30.3K
tracked
$244.8K

13 verified profitable wallets: Team Falcons · $18.7K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 76% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +26.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Less than 5h remains; resolution risk is elevated.
  • •Rules, deadline or market status changed recently; re-read the current definition.
  • •Executable BUY price moved 26.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Legacy or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-29 22:45 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://hltv.org
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Legacy" if Legacy win Map 1 against Team Falcons.

•This market will resolve to "Team Falcons" if Team Falcons win Map 1 against Legacy.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket semifinal 2 match between Legacy and Team Falcons in the BLAST Open Porto Group B, initially scheduled for August 29, 2026 at 12:30 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Legacy" if Legacy win Map 1 against Team Falcons. This market will resolve to "Team Falcons" if Team Falcons win Map 1 against Legacy. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 12, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 29, 2026 at 12:30 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Recent definition/status changes
DEADLINE CHANGED · 2h ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
omomom32 linked markets · $131.8K gross
0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415f3 linked markets · $68.1K gross
alexdave8883 linked markets · $67.0K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Team Falcons39m ago
Outcome checks pending
ANTI CHASEBUY Team Falcons39m ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Team Falcons@ 74.0¢1h ago
15m INVALIDATED -15.0pp
MARKET SWEEPBUY Team Falcons@ 73.0¢1h ago
15m INVALIDATED -14.0pp
Latest book event: Team Falcons UP 3.0pp · near-book depth $10.0K → $2.2K · 1s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Legacy; negative values favor Team Falcons. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hLegacy · $97.7K
6hLegacy · $30.3K
24hLegacy · $30.3K

Legacy price VWAP

Volume-weighted Legacy price. Team Falcons fills are converted to the complementary Legacy probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h21.5¢▼ below by 21.5pp
VWAP 7d21.5¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Legacy price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$51.3K
40¢
$29.5K
35¢
$16.9K
30¢
$18.1K
25¢
$6.9K
20¢
$6.1K
15¢
$0
10¢
$10.0K
5¢
$556
0¢
← now
$105.4K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLTeam Falcons$57.0K@ 99.9¢
omomom30x0a53…077b
🐋—29 minutes ago
SELLTeam Falcons$28.0K@ 99.9¢
alexdave8880xa4fd…748b
🐋—30 minutes ago
BUYTeam Falcons$11.4K@ 57.0¢
alexdave8880xa4fd…748b
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYTeam Falcons$20.0K@ 55.0¢
omomom30x0a53…077b
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYTeam Falcons$10.0K@ 54.1¢
omomom30x0a53…077b
🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415fTeam Falcons$32.5K
BUY VWAP 67.7¢·12 fills
omomom3Team Falcons$30.0K
BUY VWAP 54.7¢·2 fills
alexdave888Team Falcons$16.0K
BUY VWAP 57.0¢·2 fills
0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415fLegacy$12.5K
BUY VWAP 33.2¢·7 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.