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US Open WTA: Maria Sakkari vs Yulia Starodubtseva

● quote 2 min ago
Sports→Closes: 6 daysLiquidity: $103.1KOfficial 24h Vol: $445.7KEvent: US Open WTA: Maria Sakkari vs Yulia Starodubtseva
4.9¢
Maria Sakkari
99.9¢
Yulia Starodubtseva
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection15Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets59Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority62Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 75%💡 9 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:115 trades$172.5K tracked4% 🐋source coverage 39%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 9 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Maria Sakkari · $32.0K net·9 wallets(1🐋)·$53.9K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYMaria Sakkari$13.3K@ 98¢·Flaznorp

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

REVIEW Maria Sakkari SETUP
What the tape says

Maria Sakkari pressure: $25.2K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$25.2K
6h
+$40.2K
tracked
$172.5K

9 verified profitable wallets: Maria Sakkari · $32.0K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 75% · priority 62

Since latest market sweep: -96.7pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •No hard data-quality flag; still verify rules, news and orderbook depth.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Maria Sakkari or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-09 15:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Maria Sakkari and Yulia Starodubtseva in the US Open WTA, originally scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Maria Sakkari' if Maria Sakkari advances against Yulia Starodubtseva. This market will resolve to 'Yulia Starodubtseva' if Yulia Starodubtseva advances against Maria Sakkari. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

MARKET SWEEPBUY Maria Sakkari@ 96.8¢2h ago
15m INVALIDATED -19.5pp1h INVALIDATED -87.6pp
Latest book event: Yulia Starodubtseva UP 2.7pp · near-book depth $27.8K → $915 · 6s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.climax

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Maria Sakkari; negative values favor Yulia Starodubtseva. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMaria Sakkari · $25.2K
6hMaria Sakkari · $40.2K
24hMaria Sakkari · $47.7K

Maria Sakkari price VWAP

Volume-weighted Maria Sakkari price. Yulia Starodubtseva fills are converted to the complementary Maria Sakkari probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current4.9¢
VWAP 24h48.3¢▼ below by 43.4pp
VWAP 7d48.3¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Maria Sakkari price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$32.1K
90¢
$417
85¢
$6.9K
80¢
$9.4K
75¢
$4.2K
70¢
$6.6K
65¢
$18.4K
60¢
$16.1K
55¢
$0
50¢
$1.3K
45¢
$0
40¢
$2.7K
35¢
$10
30¢
$1.3K
25¢
$4.1K
20¢
$3.1K
15¢
$1.6K
10¢
$11.6K
5¢
$23.6K
0¢
← now
$29.1K

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLYulia Starodubtseva$11.7K@ 99.9¢
MMzz3980x2978…b511
🐋—17 minutes ago
SELLYulia Starodubtseva$11.6K@ 89.9¢
unknownloser10x5c50…e0c9
🐋—38 minutes ago
SELLYulia Starodubtseva$10.9K@ 90.2¢0x87b1…7da1🐋—39 minutes ago
BUYMaria Sakkari$13.3K@ 97.9¢
Flaznorp0x821d…cf16
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYMaria Sakkari$12.7K@ 97.0¢
Flaznorp0x821d…cf16
🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

FlaznorpMaria Sakkari$29.9K
BUY VWAP 93.5¢·7 fills
rabbitfoot1Yulia Starodubtseva$13.3K
BUY VWAP 31.8¢·7 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.