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New York Yankees vs. San Diego Padres

● quote 30s ago
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $452.6KOfficial 24h Vol: $112.4KEvent: New York Yankees vs. San Diego Padres
45.5¢
New York Yankees
54.5¢
San Diego Padres
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly76Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection2Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority38Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 77%
24h sample:13 trades$55.2K tracked15% 🐋source coverage 49%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 11 min agoofficial metadata 4 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYNew York Yankees$19.6K@ 49¢·SDTrading

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

New York Yankees pressure: $1.2K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$1.2K
6h
−$11.1K
tracked
$55.2K

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 77% · priority 38

Since latest large flow: +0.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 11 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from New York Yankees or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-12 23:15 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "New York Yankees" if the New York Yankees win the game.

•This market will resolve to "San Diego Padres" if the San Diego Padres win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the New York Yankees and San Diego Padres, scheduled for September 5 at 7:15PM ET: This market will resolve to "New York Yankees" if the New York Yankees win the game. This market will resolve to "San Diego Padres" if the San Diego Padres win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY San Diego Padres@ 55.0¢3h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY New York Yankees@ 46.0¢3h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor New York Yankees; negative values favor San Diego Padres. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hNew York Yankees · $1.2K
6hSan Diego Padres · $11.1K
24hSan Diego Padres · $11.1K

New York Yankees price VWAP

Volume-weighted New York Yankees price. San Diego Padres fills are converted to the complementary New York Yankees probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current45.5¢
VWAP 24h47.7¢▼ below by 2.2pp
VWAP 7d47.7¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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New York Yankees price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
← now
$55.2K
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYSan Diego Padres$11.8K@ 54.0¢
Talvez100xa710…23c4
🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYNew York Yankees$19.6K@ 49.0¢
SDTrading0x16bb…8492
🐋—about 4 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

SDTradingNew York Yankees$19.6K
BUY VWAP 49.0¢·1 fill
Talvez10San Diego Padres$17.6K
BUY VWAP 53.3¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.