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LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs paiN Gaming - Game 3 Winner

● quote 17s ago
Sports→Closes: about 1 hourLiquidity: $311.6KOfficial 24h Vol: $182.3KEvent: LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs paiN Gaming (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs
2.0¢
Vivo Keyd Stars
99.9¢
paiN Gaming
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets89Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 57%💡 7 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:80 trades$49.3K trackedsource coverage 27%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 85 min agoofficial metadata 4 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:paiN Gaming · $4.8K net·7 wallets·$5.4K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLpaiN Gaming$5.3K@ 100¢·danding628

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
+$13.5K
tracked
$49.3K

7 verified profitable wallets: paiN Gaming · $4.8K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 57% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 85 minutes old.
  • •Less than 1h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-05 21:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Vivo Keyd Stars" if Vivo Keyd Stars win Game 3 against paiN Gaming.

•This market will resolve to "paiN Gaming" if paiN Gaming win Game 3 against Vivo Keyd Stars.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL Upper Bracket Quarterfinals 2 match between Vivo Keyd Stars and paiN Gaming in the CBLOL Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 5, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Vivo Keyd Stars" if Vivo Keyd Stars win Game 3 against paiN Gaming. This market will resolve to "paiN Gaming" if paiN Gaming win Game 3 against Vivo Keyd Stars. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 3 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 3. If Game 3 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 19, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 5, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
Jer-Predict3 linked markets · $13.6K gross
0xf201…527e2 linked markets · $11.5K gross
Sisyphus.2 linked markets · $10.4K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: paiN Gaming UP 5.0pp · near-book depth $357 → $12.2K · 11s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Vivo Keyd Stars; negative values favor paiN Gaming. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hVivo Keyd Stars · $0
6hVivo Keyd Stars · $13.5K
24hVivo Keyd Stars · $13.5K

Vivo Keyd Stars price VWAP

Volume-weighted Vivo Keyd Stars price. paiN Gaming fills are converted to the complementary Vivo Keyd Stars probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current2.0¢
VWAP 24h21.2¢▼ below by 19.2pp
VWAP 7d21.2¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Vivo Keyd Stars price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$5.2K
60¢
$3.3K
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$3.1K
40¢
$0
35¢
$1.8K
30¢
$161
25¢
$1.3K
20¢
$83
15¢
$8.6K
10¢
$3.8K
5¢
$6.4K
0¢
← now
$15.6K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.