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US Open WTA: Naomi Osaka vs Katerina Siniakova

Sports→Settlement: Naomi OsakaLiquidity: $38.1KOfficial 24h Vol: $203.7KEvent: US Open WTA: Naomi Osaka vs Katerina Siniakova
100.0¢
Naomi Osaka payout
0.0¢
Katerina Siniakova payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYNaomi Osaka$20.7K@ 99¢·hd777

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Naomi Osaka. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-09 15:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Naomi Osaka and Katerina Siniakova in the US Open WTA, originally scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Naomi Osaka' if Naomi Osaka advances against Katerina Siniakova. This market will resolve to 'Katerina Siniakova' if Katerina Siniakova advances against Naomi Osaka. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Naomi Osaka; negative values favor Katerina Siniakova. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hNaomi Osaka · $0
6hKaterina Siniakova · $6.8K
24hNaomi Osaka · $49.7K

Naomi Osaka price VWAP

Volume-weighted Naomi Osaka price. Katerina Siniakova fills are converted to the complementary Naomi Osaka probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h91.8¢▲ above by 8.2pp
VWAP 7d91.8¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Naomi Osaka price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$43.1K
90¢
$11.9K
85¢
$6.7K
80¢
$3.1K
75¢
$17.2K
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYNaomi Osaka$20.7K@ 99.0¢
hd7770x986b…bdc6
🐋—13 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.