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US Open ATP: Zachary Svajda vs Arthur Gea

● quote 14s ago
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $139.5KOfficial 24h Vol: $372.5KEvent: US Open ATP: Zachary Svajda vs Arthur Gea
0.1¢
Zachary Svajda
100.0¢
Arthur Gea
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection8Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets46Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 76%💡 11 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:138 trades$169.2K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 45%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 12 min agoofficial metadata 36s ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Zachary Svajda · $11.0K net·11 wallets·$23.8K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLArthur Gea$17.0K@ 100¢·alexdave888

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Zachary Svajda pressure: $13.8K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$13.8K
6h
+$53.4K
tracked
$169.2K

11 verified profitable wallets: Zachary Svajda · $11.0K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 76% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 12 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Zachary Svajda or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-10 15:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Zachary Svajda and Arthur Gea in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for September 3, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Zachary Svajda' if Zachary Svajda advances against Arthur Gea. This market will resolve to 'Arthur Gea' if Arthur Gea advances against Zachary Svajda. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Arthur Gea UP 2.5pp · near-book depth $31.7K → $14.9K · 71s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Zachary Svajda; negative values favor Arthur Gea. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hZachary Svajda · $13.8K
6hZachary Svajda · $53.4K
24hZachary Svajda · $53.4K

Zachary Svajda price VWAP

Volume-weighted Zachary Svajda price. Arthur Gea fills are converted to the complementary Zachary Svajda probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h44.3¢▼ below by 44.3pp
VWAP 7d44.3¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Zachary Svajda price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$296
70¢
$133
65¢
$19.1K
60¢
$10.0K
55¢
$52.8K
50¢
$40.3K
45¢
$2.3K
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$840
25¢
$3.6K
20¢
$3.6K
15¢
$1.7K
10¢
$5.9K
5¢
$1.9K
0¢
← now
$26.8K

VPOC = 55¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLArthur Gea$17.0K@ 99.9¢
alexdave8880xa4fd…748b
🐋—17 minutes ago
BUYZachary Svajda$14.3K@ 69.0¢
n0tTODAY0x89a6…429a
🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

rabbitfoot1Zachary Svajda$16.3K
BUY VWAP 54.0¢·3 fills
n0tTODAYZachary Svajda$14.3K
BUY VWAP 69.0¢·1 fill
0x78be…bde0Arthur Gea$13.9K
BUY VWAP 44.6¢·3 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.