PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Manacor: Daniel Rincon vs Inaki Montes

● quote 35s ago
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $137.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $157.4KEvent: Manacor: Daniel Rincon vs Inaki Montes
0.1¢
Daniel Rincon
100.0¢
Inaki Montes
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets37Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 56%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:16 trades$38.3K tracked6% 🐋source coverage 24%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 266 min agoofficial metadata just now
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Inaki Montes · $14.1K net·2 wallets(1🐋)·$25.6K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYInaki Montes$11.4K@ 70¢·0x076d…8d4c

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
−$10.3K
tracked
$38.3K

2 verified profitable wallets: Inaki Montes · $14.1K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 56% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 266 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-10 14:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Daniel Rincon and Inaki Montes in the Manacor, originally scheduled for September 3, 2026 at 10:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daniel Rincon' if Daniel Rincon advances against Inaki Montes. This market will resolve to 'Inaki Montes' if Inaki Montes advances against Daniel Rincon. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Daniel Rincon; negative values favor Inaki Montes. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hDaniel Rincon · $0
6hInaki Montes · $10.3K
24hInaki Montes · $12.1K

Daniel Rincon price VWAP

Volume-weighted Daniel Rincon price. Inaki Montes fills are converted to the complementary Daniel Rincon probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h28.8¢▼ below by 28.8pp
VWAP 7d28.8¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Daniel Rincon price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$1.2K
50¢
$3.0K
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$4.0K
30¢
$13.7K
25¢
$4.1K
20¢
$7.1K
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$4.1K
0¢
← now
$1.0K

VPOC = 30¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYInaki Montes$11.4K@ 70.0¢0x076d…8d4c🐋—about 5 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

US Open ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Karen Khachanov
0.1¢$929.0Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dalibor Svrcina
100.0¢$920.0Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
US Open ATP: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Francisco Cerundolo
0.1¢$763.0Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Crystal Palace win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
0.1¢$680.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
US Open ATP: Dane Sweeny vs Lorenzo Musetti
81.5¢$456.3Kpriority53Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
0.1¢$355.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
US Open WTA: Madison Keys vs Anna Bondar
100.0¢$352.0Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals?
4.5¢$344.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x076d…8d4cInaki Montes$13.7K
BUY VWAP 69.8¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.