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US Open ATP: Benjamin Bonzi vs Ignacio Buse

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $71.6KOfficial 24h Vol: $892.0KEvent: US Open ATP: Benjamin Bonzi vs Ignacio Buse
57.5¢
Benjamin Bonzi
42.5¢
Ignacio Buse
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection24Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets34Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution88Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority57Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 86%💡 7 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:116 trades$409.7K tracked10% 🐋source coverage 46%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 2 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Ignacio Buse · $14.6K net·7 wallets(1🐋)·$42.9K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYBenjamin Bonzi$41.7K@ 60¢·BillyGating

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

REVIEW Benjamin Bonzi SETUP
What the tape says

Benjamin Bonzi pressure: $100.2K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$100.2K
6h
+$183.3K
tracked
$409.7K

7 verified profitable wallets: Ignacio Buse · $14.6K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 86% · priority 57

Since latest large flow: -1.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •No hard data-quality flag; still verify rules, news and orderbook depth.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Benjamin Bonzi or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-10 15:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Benjamin Bonzi and Ignacio Buse in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for September 3, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Benjamin Bonzi' if Benjamin Bonzi advances against Ignacio Buse. This market will resolve to 'Ignacio Buse' if Ignacio Buse advances against Benjamin Bonzi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Benjamin Bonzi@ 59.0¢15m ago
Outcome checks pending
ANTI CHASEBUY Benjamin Bonzi54m ago
Outcome checks pending
ANTI CHASEBUY Benjamin Bonzi54m ago
Outcome checks pending
ACCUMULATIONBUY Benjamin Bonzi@ 60.0¢1h ago
15m CONFIRMED +9.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Benjamin Bonzi; negative values favor Ignacio Buse. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hBenjamin Bonzi · $100.2K
6hBenjamin Bonzi · $183.3K
24hBenjamin Bonzi · $177.0K

Benjamin Bonzi price VWAP

Volume-weighted Benjamin Bonzi price. Ignacio Buse fills are converted to the complementary Benjamin Bonzi probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current57.5¢
VWAP 24h58.2¢▼ below by 0.7pp
VWAP 7d58.2¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Benjamin Bonzi price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$5.9K
65¢
$43.0K
60¢
$171.7K
55¢
← now
$109.8K
50¢
$30.3K
45¢
$39.1K
40¢
$10.0K
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 60¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYBenjamin Bonzi$13.0K@ 62.0¢
BillyGating0x2dfa…6f60
🐋—19 minutes ago
BUYBenjamin Bonzi$10.6K@ 66.0¢
787-HUEV-W-ZOPE0xdd63…050f
🐋—25 minutes ago
BUYBenjamin Bonzi$14.8K@ 66.0¢
n0tTODAY0x89a6…429a
🐋—25 minutes ago
BUYIgnacio Buse$10.2K@ 39.4¢
0xwise0x0e60…3bad
🐋—31 minutes ago
BUYBenjamin Bonzi$11.9K@ 63.0¢
one8tyfive0xcf6c…7e66
🐋—33 minutes ago
BUYIgnacio Buse$14.7K@ 42.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYBenjamin Bonzi$40.5K@ 60.0¢
BillyGating0x2dfa…6f60
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYBenjamin Bonzi$41.7K@ 60.0¢
BillyGating0x2dfa…6f60
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYBenjamin Bonzi$10.6K@ 59.0¢
BillyGating0x2dfa…6f60
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYIgnacio Buse$12.2K@ 49.6¢0x760f…326a🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYBenjamin Bonzi$13.0K@ 55.8¢0x5f65…2036🐋—about 1 hour ago
SELLIgnacio Buse$14.2K@ 42.6¢0x5f65…2036🐋—about 1 hour ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

BillyGatingBenjamin Bonzi$145.4K
BUY VWAP 59.9¢·11 fills
0x2c33…0563Ignacio Buse$26.4K
BUY VWAP 38.1¢·5 fills
0x760f…326aIgnacio Buse$22.2K
BUY VWAP 49.8¢·2 fills
rabbitfoot1Benjamin Bonzi$18.6K
BUY VWAP 58.4¢·5 fills
0x5f65…2036Ignacio Buse$16.9K
BUY VWAP 50.6¢·3 fills
n0tTODAYBenjamin Bonzi$14.8K
BUY VWAP 66.0¢·1 fill
0x5f65…2036Benjamin Bonzi$13.0K
BUY VWAP 55.8¢·1 fill
one8tyfiveBenjamin Bonzi$11.9K
BUY VWAP 63.0¢·1 fill
tradecraftBenjamin Bonzi$10.8K
BUY VWAP 54.7¢·5 fills
787-HUEV-W-ZOPEBenjamin Bonzi$10.6K
BUY VWAP 66.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.