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T20 Asia Cup, Women: Sri Lanka vs Pakistan

● quote 11s ago
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $75.5KOfficial 24h Vol: $306.1KEvent: T20 Asia Cup, Women: Sri Lanka vs Pakistan
99.9¢
Sri Lanka
0.1¢
Pakistan
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly7Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets63Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution95Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 55%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:81 trades$58.3K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 19%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 42 min agoofficial metadata 4 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Pakistan · $8.1K net·2 wallets·$8.5K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYSri Lanka$10.0K@ 52¢·SS787878

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
−$120
6h
+$24.2K
tracked
$58.3K

2 verified profitable wallets: Pakistan · $8.1K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 55% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +43.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 42 minutes old.
  • •Executable BUY price moved 43.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-18 10:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.espncricinfo.com/
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the cricket match between Sri Lanka and Pakistan scheduled for September 11 2026 at 10:30 AM ET in T20 Asia Cup, Women. DLS/DRS, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the winner determined by that tiebreak will be used for resolution. If the match ends tied and no on-field tiebreak is used or available under the playing conditions (e.g., group-stage ODI with no Super Over), the market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed/rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed. If the match is permanently canceled or abandoned or otherwise is completed without a winner, the market resolves 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Sri Lanka@ 57.0¢4h ago
15m INVALIDATED -40.0pp1h CONFIRMED +9.0pp
Latest book event: Sri Lanka UP 5.2pp · near-book depth $411 → $100 · 13s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Sri Lanka; negative values favor Pakistan. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hPakistan · $120
6hSri Lanka · $24.2K
24hSri Lanka · $28.0K

Sri Lanka price VWAP

Volume-weighted Sri Lanka price. Pakistan fills are converted to the complementary Sri Lanka probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.9¢
VWAP 24h66.0¢▲ above by 33.9pp
VWAP 7d66.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Sri Lanka price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$9.9K
90¢
$68
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$139
70¢
$2.1K
65¢
$11.3K
60¢
$13.0K
55¢
$268
50¢
$20.4K
45¢
$573
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$205
25¢
$93
20¢
$1
15¢
$3
10¢
$261
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYSri Lanka$10.0K@ 52.1¢
SS7878780xdd7e…0be3
🐋—about 4 hours ago
BUYSri Lanka$10.0K@ 50.9¢
SS7878780xdd7e…0be3
🐋—about 4 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

SS787878Sri Lanka$27.0K
BUY VWAP 54.5¢·4 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.