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Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Mets

Sports→Settlement: Baltimore OriolesLiquidity: $844.9KOfficial 24h Vol: $431.1KEvent: Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Mets
100.0¢
Baltimore Orioles payout
0.0¢
New York Mets payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:150 trades$173.8K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 40%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 53 min agoofficial metadata 14 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Baltimore Orioles · $24.7K net·15 wallets(2🐋)·$64.0K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYBaltimore Orioles$18.0K@ 90¢·maxoveral00

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Baltimore Orioles. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-22 23:10 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Baltimore Orioles" if the Baltimore Orioles win the game.

•This market will resolve to "New York Mets" if the New York Mets win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Baltimore Orioles and New York Mets, scheduled for September 15 at 7:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Baltimore Orioles" if the Baltimore Orioles win the game. This market will resolve to "New York Mets" if the New York Mets win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x3dfb…abaf2 linked markets · $24.4K gross
SDTrading2 linked markets · $16.1K gross
JAMJAMJAM42 linked markets · $3.0K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Baltimore Orioles@ 45.0¢5h ago
15m STALLED -2.0pp1h INVALIDATED -4.0pp
Latest book event: New York Mets UP 4.5pp · near-book depth $194 → $207 · 1s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Baltimore Orioles; negative values favor New York Mets. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hNew York Mets · $12.0K
6hBaltimore Orioles · $7.9K
24hNew York Mets · $1.4K

Baltimore Orioles price VWAP

Volume-weighted Baltimore Orioles price. New York Mets fills are converted to the complementary Baltimore Orioles probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h61.2¢▲ above by 38.8pp
VWAP 7d61.2¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Baltimore Orioles price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$20.7K
90¢
$18.1K
85¢
$16.6K
80¢
$0
75¢
$5.2K
70¢
$17.2K
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$4.5K
50¢
$0
45¢
$30.5K
40¢
$24.0K
35¢
$11.0K
30¢
$9.4K
25¢
$10.2K
20¢
$4.4K
15¢
$1.9K
10¢
$9
5¢
$5
0¢
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYBaltimore Orioles$18.0K@ 90.0¢
maxoveral000x5f0e…7397
🐋—about 1 hour ago
SELLBaltimore Orioles$12.7K@ 89.0¢
BruceWayne770xa2b5…4582
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYNew York Mets$10.0K@ 56.0¢0x17c4…2471🐋—about 4 hours ago
BUYBaltimore Orioles$15.2K@ 45.0¢0x1610…ae49🐋—about 5 hours ago
BUYNew York Mets$10.0K@ 56.0¢
Berniepaidoff0xc506…e987
🐋—about 8 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

maxoveral00Baltimore Orioles$18.0K
BUY VWAP 90.0¢·1 fill
0x1610…ae49Baltimore Orioles$15.2K
BUY VWAP 45.0¢·1 fill
0x3dfb…abafNew York Mets$15.0K
BUY VWAP 66.2¢·4 fills
0x17c4…2471New York Mets$10.0K
BUY VWAP 56.0¢·1 fill
BerniepaidoffNew York Mets$10.0K
BUY VWAP 56.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.