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San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies

● quote 39s ago
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $228.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $520.2KEvent: San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies
1.0¢
San Diego Padres
99.9¢
Colorado Rockies
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets10Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 76%💡 11 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:124 trades$236.2K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 45%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 18 min agoofficial metadata 2 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:San Diego Padres · $9.7K net·11 wallets·$101.3K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYSan Diego Padres$38.7K@ 64¢·0x3dfb…abaf

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
−$211
6h
+$78.7K
tracked
$236.2K

11 verified profitable wallets: San Diego Padres · $9.7K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 76% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +93.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 18 minutes old.
  • •Executable BUY price moved 93.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-23 00:40 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "San Diego Padres" if the San Diego Padres win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Colorado Rockies" if the Colorado Rockies win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the San Diego Padres and Colorado Rockies, scheduled for September 15 at 8:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "San Diego Padres" if the San Diego Padres win the game. This market will resolve to "Colorado Rockies" if the Colorado Rockies win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
HomeRunHazard2 linked markets · $36.5K gross
ferrariChampions20262 linked markets · $19.5K gross
0x42fb…dc572 linked markets · $30 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Colorado Rockies38m ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY San Diego Padres@ 7.0¢44m ago
15m INVALIDATED -6.8pp
MARKET SWEEPBUY Colorado Rockies@ 88.0¢53m ago
15m CONFIRMED +10.1pp
LARGE FLOWBUY San Diego Padres@ 65.0¢5h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp
Latest book event: San Diego Padres DOWN 4.5pp · near-book depth $182 → $412 · 2s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor San Diego Padres; negative values favor Colorado Rockies. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hColorado Rockies · $211
6hSan Diego Padres · $78.7K
24hSan Diego Padres · $76.1K

San Diego Padres price VWAP

Volume-weighted San Diego Padres price. Colorado Rockies fills are converted to the complementary San Diego Padres probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current1.0¢
VWAP 24h48.0¢▼ below by 47.0pp
VWAP 7d48.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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San Diego Padres price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$2
75¢
$12.1K
70¢
$28.3K
65¢
$29.6K
60¢
$75.9K
55¢
$1.7K
50¢
$0
45¢
$12.5K
40¢
$22
35¢
$14.0K
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$29.4K
5¢
$1.4K
0¢
← now
$31.3K

VPOC = 60¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLColorado Rockies$31.2K@ 99.9¢
kkookkoo0x26b4…b8a9
🐋—19 minutes ago
BUYSan Diego Padres$38.7K@ 64.0¢0x3dfb…abaf🐋—about 5 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x3dfb…abafSan Diego Padres$50.6K
BUY VWAP 48.4¢·4 fills
HomeRunHazardColorado Rockies$23.3K
BUY VWAP 75.8¢·5 fills
dabossrealmanSan Diego Padres$22.6K
BUY VWAP 70.6¢·6 fills
HomeRunHazardSan Diego Padres$11.9K
BUY VWAP 69.6¢·3 fills
wr0ngw4yb3tt0rColorado Rockies$11.2K
BUY VWAP 80.4¢·5 fills
dabossrealmanColorado Rockies$11.2K
BUY VWAP 51.7¢·4 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.